IPCC SRES Emissions Scenarios - Version 1.1 |
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World
- A2 AIM |
|
1990 |
2000 |
2010 |
2020 |
2030 |
2040 |
2050 |
2060 |
2070 |
2080 |
2090 |
2100 |
|
|
Population |
Million |
5262 |
6132 |
7165 |
8198 |
9231 |
10208 |
11287 |
12008 |
12776 |
13536 |
14281 |
15068 |
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|
|
|
GNP/GDP
(mex) |
Trillion US$ |
20.1 |
25.1 |
31.8 |
40.2 |
50.7 |
63.9 |
80.7 |
101.2 |
126.9 |
157.7 |
194.3 |
239.4 |
|
GNP/GDP
(ppp) Trillion (1990 prices) |
|
|
|
|
|
Final
Energy |
EJ |
|
|
|
Non-commercial |
|
50 |
57 |
69 |
68 |
69 |
62 |
55 |
36 |
24 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
|
Solids |
|
36 |
48 |
65 |
79 |
95 |
108 |
121 |
131 |
141 |
150 |
157 |
165 |
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|
Liquids |
|
111 |
115 |
135 |
162 |
190 |
204 |
220 |
244 |
270 |
308 |
360 |
421 |
|
|
Gas |
|
51 |
56 |
80 |
101 |
129 |
147 |
167 |
177 |
186 |
201 |
220 |
241 |
|
|
Electricity |
|
38 |
51 |
69 |
88 |
116 |
145 |
181 |
226 |
283 |
348 |
420 |
507 |
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|
Others |
|
|
|
|
Total |
|
285 |
327 |
418 |
499 |
599 |
668 |
744 |
824 |
911 |
1024 |
1169 |
1334 |
|
|
|
|
Primary
Energy |
EJ |
|
|
|
Coal |
|
93 |
119 |
177 |
230 |
301 |
344 |
396 |
477 |
575 |
692 |
837 |
1016 |
|
|
Oil |
|
143 |
155 |
179 |
182 |
176 |
163 |
152 |
134 |
121 |
107 |
92 |
80 |
|
|
Gas |
|
73 |
96 |
133 |
170 |
216 |
244 |
276 |
292 |
309 |
334 |
368 |
406 |
|
|
Nuclear |
|
6 |
9 |
11 |
14 |
16 |
27 |
48 |
65 |
88 |
116 |
150 |
195 |
|
|
Biomass |
|
50 |
48 |
38 |
66 |
99 |
119 |
143 |
161 |
181 |
194 |
199 |
203 |
|
|
|
|
|
Other Renewables |
10 |
11 |
13 |
15 |
20 |
25 |
31 |
45 |
67 |
91 |
112 |
140 |
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|
Total |
|
376 |
438 |
551 |
677 |
829 |
921 |
1046 |
1173 |
1341 |
1535 |
1758 |
2040 |
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|
|
|
Cumulative
Resources Use |
ZJ |
|
|
|
Coal |
|
0.1 |
1.2 |
2.6 |
4.7 |
7.3 |
10.2 |
14.3 |
18.5 |
23.9 |
30.4 |
38.1 |
47.7 |
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|
Oil |
|
0.1 |
1.6 |
3.3 |
5.1 |
6.9 |
8.3 |
10.2 |
11.4 |
12.7 |
14.0 |
14.9 |
16.0 |
|
|
Gas |
|
0.1 |
0.9 |
2.1 |
3.6 |
5.5 |
7.6 |
10.4 |
12.9 |
16.0 |
19.4 |
22.8 |
26.9 |
|
|
|
|
Cumulative
CO2 Emissions |
GtC |
0.0 |
75.3 |
166.3 |
274.2 |
399.6 |
544.8 |
707.5 |
891.0 |
1098.6 |
1335.8 |
1610.5 |
1930.7 |
|
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|
|
Carbon
Sequestraction |
GtC |
|
|
|
Land Use |
|
Million ha |
|
|
Cropland |
|
1459 |
1484 |
1518 |
1551 |
1586 |
1623 |
1660 |
1702 |
1744 |
1787 |
1833 |
1879 |
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|
Grasslands |
|
3389 |
3411 |
3446 |
3478 |
3510 |
3546 |
3582 |
3611 |
3640 |
3664 |
3683 |
3701 |
|
|
Energy Biomass |
|
0 |
0 |
0 |
89 |
194 |
252 |
311 |
316 |
322 |
314 |
291 |
268 |
|
|
Forest |
|
4296 |
4248 |
4217 |
4254 |
4301 |
4307 |
4314 |
4306 |
4299 |
4292 |
4285 |
4277 |
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|
Others |
|
3805 |
3805 |
3768 |
3577 |
3359 |
3220 |
3082 |
3013 |
2944 |
2892 |
2858 |
2823 |
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|
Total |
|
12949 |
12949 |
12949 |
12949 |
12949 |
12949 |
12949 |
12949 |
12949 |
12949 |
12949 |
12949 |
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|
Anthropogenic
Emissions (standardized) |
|
|
Fossil Fuel CO2 |
GtC |
5.99 |
6.90 |
9.30 |
11.29 |
13.70 |
15.05 |
16.60 |
18.73 |
21.20 |
24.41 |
28.56 |
33.43 |
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|
Other CO2 |
GtC |
1.11 |
1.07 |
0.92 |
0.07 |
0.02 |
0.26 |
0.64 |
0.74 |
0.87 |
0.97 |
1.00 |
1.04 |
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|
Total CO2 |
GtC |
7.10 |
7.97 |
10.22 |
11.36 |
13.72 |
15.31 |
17.23 |
19.47 |
22.07 |
25.38 |
29.56 |
34.47 |
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|
CH4 total |
MtCH4 |
310 |
323 |
362 |
385 |
412 |
422 |
434 |
457 |
481 |
505 |
526 |
549 |
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|
N2O total |
MtN2O-N |
6.7 |
7.0 |
7.3 |
7.4 |
7.6 |
7.9 |
8.1 |
8.4 |
8.8 |
9.1 |
9.5 |
9.8 |
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|
SOx total |
MtS |
70.9 |
69.0 |
86.7 |
105.0 |
132.8 |
135.1 |
140.7 |
151.9 |
165.1 |
148.0 |
113.3 |
92.9 |
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|
CFC/HFC/HCFC |
MtC eq. |
1672 |
883 |
785 |
292 |
258 |
291 |
312 |
384 |
457 |
549 |
662 |
753 |
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|
PFC |
MtC eq. |
32 |
25 |
41 |
51 |
64 |
77 |
92 |
113 |
129 |
148 |
168 |
178 |
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|
SF6 |
MtC eq. |
38 |
40 |
50 |
64 |
75 |
89 |
104 |
122 |
129 |
135 |
153 |
165 |
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|
CO |
MtCO |
879 |
877 |
983 |
952 |
1029 |
1101 |
1179 |
1268 |
1366 |
1500 |
1679 |
1881 |
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|
NMVOC |
Mt |
139 |
141 |
183 |
205 |
230 |
225 |
221 |
208 |
197 |
186 |
177 |
169 |
|
|
NOx |
MtN |
31 |
32 |
37 |
42 |
47 |
48 |
50 |
53 |
56 |
60 |
65 |
71 |
|
|
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|
OECD90
- A2 AIM |
|
1990 |
2000 |
2010 |
2020 |
2030 |
2040 |
2050 |
2060 |
2070 |
2080 |
2090 |
2100 |
|
|
Population |
Million |
859 |
914 |
966 |
1018 |
1071 |
1111 |
1152 |
1218 |
1288 |
1357 |
1425 |
1496 |
|
|
|
|
GNP/GDP
(mex) |
Trillion US$ |
15.3 |
18.6 |
21.9 |
25.5 |
29.7 |
34.2 |
39.4 |
45.8 |
53.2 |
62.3 |
73.4 |
86.6 |
|
GNP/GDP
(ppp) Trillion (1990 prices) |
|
|
|
|
|
Final
Energy |
EJ |
|
|
|
Non-commercial |
|
6 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
|
Solids |
|
10 |
14 |
16 |
18 |
20 |
21 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
|
|
Liquids |
|
64 |
69 |
72 |
82 |
88 |
87 |
87 |
88 |
89 |
95 |
106 |
118 |
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|
Gas |
|
25 |
31 |
38 |
44 |
49 |
51 |
52 |
52 |
51 |
53 |
57 |
61 |
|
|
Electricity |
|
22 |
27 |
32 |
37 |
44 |
50 |
57 |
66 |
76 |
88 |
102 |
118 |
|
|
Others |
|
|
|
|
Total |
|
127 |
142 |
158 |
181 |
201 |
209 |
217 |
228 |
240 |
259 |
289 |
322 |
|
|
|
|
Primary
Energy |
EJ |
|
|
|
Coal |
|
41 |
46 |
60 |
70 |
80 |
86 |
92 |
106 |
122 |
147 |
187 |
238 |
|
|
Oil |
|
76 |
83 |
84 |
84 |
74 |
61 |
50 |
36 |
26 |
19 |
13 |
9 |
|
|
Gas |
|
34 |
46 |
54 |
62 |
70 |
72 |
75 |
73 |
71 |
73 |
79 |
85 |
|
|
Nuclear |
|
5 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
9 |
11 |
14 |
18 |
22 |
28 |
35 |
45 |
|
|
Biomass |
|
6 |
1 |
0 |
6 |
15 |
20 |
27 |
31 |
35 |
37 |
38 |
39 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other Renewables |
6 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
10 |
12 |
13 |
18 |
23 |
28 |
31 |
34 |
|
|
Total |
|
167 |
189 |
211 |
238 |
257 |
262 |
272 |
281 |
299 |
331 |
383 |
450 |
|
|
|
|
Cumulative
Resources Use |
ZJ |
|
|
|
Coal |
|
0.0 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.6 |
2.4 |
3.1 |
4.1 |
5.1 |
6.2 |
7.6 |
9.4 |
11.5 |
|
|
Oil |
|
0.1 |
0.9 |
1.7 |
2.5 |
3.3 |
3.9 |
4.6 |
4.9 |
5.3 |
5.5 |
5.7 |
5.9 |
|
|
Gas |
|
0.0 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.5 |
2.2 |
2.8 |
3.6 |
4.3 |
5.0 |
5.8 |
6.5 |
7.4 |
|
|
|
|
Cumulative
CO2 Emissions |
GtC |
0.0 |
30.1 |
63.9 |
101.2 |
141.9 |
185.2 |
230.6 |
277.8 |
326.6 |
378.4 |
436.9 |
504.5 |
|
|
|
|
Carbon
Sequestraction |
GtC |
|
|
|
Land Use |
|
Million ha |
|
|
Cropland |
|
381 |
384 |
391 |
398 |
405 |
413 |
422 |
432 |
442 |
453 |
465 |
477 |
|
|
Grasslands |
|
760 |
765 |
775 |
786 |
797 |
813 |
830 |
841 |
853 |
860 |
864 |
867 |
|
|
Energy Biomass |
|
0 |
0 |
0 |
17 |
37 |
48 |
59 |
61 |
62 |
60 |
56 |
51 |
|
|
Forest |
|
1050 |
1062 |
1080 |
1109 |
1137 |
1137 |
1136 |
1136 |
1135 |
1133 |
1131 |
1128 |
|
|
Others |
|
838 |
818 |
783 |
720 |
652 |
617 |
582 |
560 |
537 |
522 |
513 |
504 |
|
|
Total |
|
3029 |
3029 |
3029 |
3029 |
3029 |
3029 |
3029 |
3029 |
3029 |
3029 |
3029 |
3029 |
|
|
|
|
Anthropogenic
Emissions (standardized) |
|
|
Fossil Fuel CO2 |
GtC |
2.83 |
3.20 |
3.62 |
4.08 |
4.41 |
4.48 |
4.55 |
4.70 |
4.86 |
5.32 |
6.17 |
7.15 |
|
|
Other CO2 |
GtC |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-0.07 |
-0.18 |
-0.18 |
-0.04 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
|
|
Total CO2 |
GtC |
2.83 |
3.20 |
3.55 |
3.90 |
4.23 |
4.44 |
4.65 |
4.80 |
4.95 |
5.42 |
6.27 |
7.26 |
|
|
CH4 total |
MtCH4 |
73 |
74 |
74 |
74 |
75 |
69 |
64 |
66 |
67 |
70 |
73 |
76 |
|
|
N2O total |
MtN2O-N |
2.6 |
2.6 |
2.7 |
2.8 |
2.7 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
2.9 |
2.9 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
|
|
SOx total |
MtS |
22.7 |
17.0 |
11.1 |
8.6 |
9.2 |
9.6 |
10.1 |
11.0 |
12.0 |
13.7 |
16.1 |
19.0 |
|
|
HFC |
MtC eq. |
19 |
57 |
107 |
103 |
111 |
116 |
125 |
130 |
135 |
142 |
151 |
160 |
|
|
PFC |
MtC eq. |
18 |
13 |
14 |
14 |
14 |
14 |
14 |
13 |
11 |
13 |
15 |
17 |
|
|
SF6 |
MtC eq. |
23 |
23 |
25 |
28 |
29 |
29 |
28 |
26 |
20 |
12 |
14 |
16 |
|
|
CO |
MtCO |
179 |
161 |
189 |
216 |
251 |
265 |
280 |
294 |
307 |
331 |
365 |
404 |
|
|
NMVOC |
Mt |
42 |
36 |
37 |
38 |
39 |
35 |
32 |
26 |
21 |
20 |
22 |
24 |
|
|
NOx |
MtN |
13 |
12 |
12 |
12 |
12 |
10 |
9 |
9 |
10 |
10 |
11 |
13 |
|
|
|
|
REF
- A2 AIM |
|
1990 |
2000 |
2010 |
2020 |
2030 |
2040 |
2050 |
2060 |
2070 |
2080 |
2090 |
2100 |
|
|
Population |
Million |
413 |
428 |
444 |
460 |
476 |
497 |
519 |
555 |
593 |
630 |
667 |
706 |
|
|
|
|
GNP/GDP
(mex) |
Trillion US$ |
0.9 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
2.0 |
2.7 |
3.7 |
4.9 |
6.4 |
8.4 |
10.8 |
13.9 |
|
GNP/GDP
(ppp) Trillion (1990 prices) |
|
|
|
|
|
Final
Energy |
EJ |
|
|
|
Non-commercial |
|
2 |
4 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
|
Solids |
|
9 |
7 |
10 |
11 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
15 |
16 |
16 |
16 |
17 |
|
|
Liquids |
|
19 |
9 |
8 |
8 |
8 |
8 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
12 |
14 |
|
|
Gas |
|
19 |
13 |
18 |
22 |
27 |
31 |
36 |
37 |
39 |
42 |
46 |
51 |
|
|
Electricity |
|
8 |
9 |
12 |
14 |
16 |
20 |
25 |
30 |
37 |
44 |
52 |
61 |
|
|
Others |
|
|
|
|
Total |
|
58 |
43 |
48 |
55 |
64 |
72 |
82 |
91 |
101 |
113 |
127 |
143 |
|
|
|
|
Primary
Energy |
EJ |
|
|
|
Coal |
|
18 |
17 |
23 |
28 |
33 |
36 |
39 |
49 |
62 |
83 |
118 |
166 |
|
|
Oil |
|
22 |
13 |
11 |
10 |
9 |
8 |
7 |
5 |
3 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
Gas |
|
26 |
21 |
27 |
32 |
37 |
40 |
44 |
46 |
47 |
51 |
56 |
61 |
|
|
Nuclear |
|
1 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
4 |
7 |
9 |
12 |
15 |
19 |
24 |
|
|
Biomass |
|
2 |
4 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
9 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other Renewables |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
5 |
7 |
10 |
13 |
16 |
|
|
Total |
|
71 |
58 |
63 |
75 |
85 |
94 |
106 |
121 |
141 |
170 |
215 |
277 |
|
|
|
|
Cumulative
Resources Use |
ZJ |
|
|
|
Coal |
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.7 |
3.5 |
4.6 |
6.0 |
|
|
Oil |
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
|
|
Gas |
|
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
1.9 |
2.3 |
2.8 |
3.3 |
3.9 |
4.5 |
|
|
|
|
Cumulative
CO2 Emissions |
GtC |
0.0 |
11.0 |
21.2 |
32.7 |
45.2 |
59.4 |
75.3 |
93.5 |
114.9 |
140.5 |
172.2 |
212.1 |
|
|
|
|
Carbon
Sequestraction |
GtC |
|
|
|
Land Use |
|
Million ha |
|
|
Cropland |
|
268 |
270 |
276 |
282 |
288 |
295 |
302 |
309 |
317 |
325 |
333 |
341 |
|
|
Grasslands |
|
341 |
362 |
366 |
370 |
373 |
376 |
379 |
382 |
385 |
387 |
390 |
392 |
|
|
Energy Biomass |
|
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
9 |
11 |
14 |
14 |
14 |
14 |
13 |
12 |
|
|
Forest |
|
966 |
950 |
936 |
938 |
941 |
942 |
942 |
936 |
929 |
924 |
920 |
915 |
|
|
Others |
|
701 |
694 |
698 |
682 |
665 |
651 |
638 |
634 |
630 |
626 |
621 |
615 |
|
|
Total |
|
2276 |
2276 |
2276 |
2276 |
2276 |
2276 |
2276 |
2276 |
2276 |
2276 |
2276 |
2276 |
|
|
|
|
Anthropogenic
Emissions (standardized) |
|
|
Fossil Fuel CO2 |
GtC |
1.30 |
0.91 |
1.11 |
1.30 |
1.47 |
1.59 |
1.73 |
1.98 |
2.27 |
2.73 |
3.45 |
4.36 |
|
|
Other CO2 |
GtC |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.01 |
-0.14 |
-0.12 |
-0.09 |
-0.05 |
-0.01 |
0.04 |
0.07 |
0.08 |
0.10 |
|
|
Total CO2 |
GtC |
1.30 |
0.91 |
1.13 |
1.16 |
1.35 |
1.50 |
1.68 |
1.97 |
2.31 |
2.80 |
3.54 |
4.45 |
|
|
CH4 total |
MtCH4 |
47 |
39 |
48 |
47 |
45 |
46 |
46 |
53 |
60 |
69 |
79 |
90 |
|
|
N2O total |
MtN2O-N |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
|
|
SOx total |
MtS |
17.0 |
11.0 |
14.8 |
17.4 |
15.3 |
10.4 |
7.0 |
6.4 |
5.9 |
6.8 |
9.5 |
13.0 |
|
|
HFC |
MtC eq. |
0 |
4 |
8 |
13 |
20 |
27 |
31 |
37 |
41 |
44 |
48 |
52 |
|
|
PFC |
MtC eq. |
7 |
4 |
8 |
10 |
14 |
17 |
20 |
25 |
30 |
35 |
40 |
42 |
|
|
SF6 |
MtC eq. |
8 |
6 |
7 |
10 |
12 |
15 |
19 |
24 |
28 |
32 |
36 |
38 |
|
|
CO |
MtCO |
69 |
41 |
41 |
43 |
46 |
47 |
48 |
50 |
53 |
57 |
62 |
68 |
|
|
NMVOC |
Mt |
16 |
13 |
14 |
14 |
14 |
13 |
13 |
13 |
12 |
12 |
12 |
12 |
|
|
NOx |
MtN |
5 |
3 |
3 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
ASIA
- A2 AIM |
|
1990 |
2000 |
2010 |
2020 |
2030 |
2040 |
2050 |
2060 |
2070 |
2080 |
2090 |
2100 |
|
|
Population |
Million |
2798 |
3278 |
3783 |
4288 |
4793 |
5255 |
5762 |
6065 |
6385 |
6701 |
7013 |
7339 |
|
|
|
|
GNP/GDP
(mex) |
Trillion US$ |
1.4 |
2.3 |
3.4 |
5.1 |
7.4 |
10.4 |
14.5 |
19.4 |
25.9 |
33.7 |
42.9 |
54.7 |
|
GNP/GDP
(ppp) Trillion (1990 prices) |
|
|
|
|
|
Final
Energy |
EJ |
|
|
|
Non-commercial |
|
28 |
31 |
37 |
35 |
35 |
30 |
26 |
14 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
|
Solids |
|
15 |
24 |
33 |
41 |
50 |
57 |
67 |
72 |
79 |
84 |
90 |
95 |
|
|
Liquids |
|
11 |
16 |
22 |
30 |
41 |
47 |
54 |
62 |
71 |
83 |
99 |
118 |
|
|
Gas |
|
2 |
3 |
6 |
9 |
14 |
17 |
21 |
24 |
26 |
28 |
30 |
31 |
|
|
Electricity |
|
5 |
8 |
14 |
21 |
33 |
42 |
55 |
72 |
94 |
119 |
147 |
181 |
|
|
Others |
|
|
|
|
Total |
|
61 |
82 |
114 |
136 |
172 |
196 |
223 |
250 |
281 |
320 |
369 |
426 |
|
|
|
|
Primary
Energy |
EJ |
|
|
|
Coal |
|
30 |
46 |
72 |
95 |
130 |
148 |
168 |
203 |
245 |
291 |
338 |
393 |
|
|
Oil |
|
17 |
24 |
34 |
37 |
38 |
36 |
33 |
28 |
24 |
20 |
15 |
11 |
|
|
Gas |
|
4 |
9 |
16 |
23 |
36 |
46 |
58 |
64 |
71 |
78 |
85 |
92 |
|
|
Nuclear |
|
0 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
7 |
15 |
21 |
30 |
40 |
53 |
70 |
|
|
Biomass |
|
28 |
24 |
19 |
21 |
21 |
26 |
33 |
37 |
42 |
45 |
46 |
47 |
|
|
|
|
|
Other Renewables |
1 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
4 |
5 |
7 |
12 |
20 |
29 |
37 |
48 |
|
|
Total |
|
80 |
106 |
144 |
180 |
233 |
267 |
314 |
365 |
431 |
502 |
574 |
662 |
|
|
|
|
Cumulative
Resources Use |
ZJ |
|
|
|
Coal |
|
0.0 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
1.8 |
3.0 |
4.2 |
6.0 |
7.7 |
10.0 |
12.7 |
15.8 |
19.7 |
|
|
Oil |
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
2.5 |
2.7 |
2.9 |
3.1 |
|
|
Gas |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.6 |
2.1 |
2.8 |
3.6 |
4.4 |
5.3 |
|
|
|
|
Cumulative
CO2 Emissions |
GtC |
0.0 |
17.8 |
42.7 |
74.4 |
114.7 |
164.6 |
221.9 |
288.3 |
365.1 |
453.7 |
555.2 |
671.2 |
|
|
|
|
Carbon
Sequestraction |
GtC |
|
|
|
Land Use |
|
Million ha |
|
|
Cropland |
|
438 |
440 |
451 |
462 |
473 |
485 |
497 |
509 |
522 |
535 |
549 |
562 |
|
|
Grasslands |
|
608 |
607 |
612 |
616 |
621 |
625 |
629 |
633 |
637 |
641 |
644 |
648 |
|
|
Energy Biomass |
|
0 |
0 |
0 |
21 |
45 |
58 |
72 |
73 |
74 |
72 |
67 |
61 |
|
|
Forest |
|
535 |
523 |
515 |
529 |
542 |
544 |
546 |
546 |
547 |
548 |
548 |
548 |
|
|
Others |
|
583 |
593 |
586 |
537 |
484 |
452 |
421 |
402 |
384 |
368 |
356 |
344 |
|
|
Total |
|
2164 |
2164 |
2164 |
2164 |
2164 |
2164 |
2164 |
2164 |
2164 |
2164 |
2164 |
2164 |
|
|
|
|
Anthropogenic
Emissions (standardized) |
|
|
Fossil Fuel CO2 |
GtC |
1.15 |
1.78 |
2.68 |
3.44 |
4.59 |
5.16 |
5.80 |
6.71 |
7.77 |
8.96 |
10.30 |
11.83 |
|
|
Other CO2 |
GtC |
0.37 |
0.26 |
0.26 |
-0.03 |
0.07 |
0.16 |
0.37 |
0.41 |
0.47 |
0.51 |
0.53 |
0.55 |
|
|
Total CO2 |
GtC |
1.53 |
2.03 |
2.94 |
3.41 |
4.65 |
5.31 |
6.16 |
7.12 |
8.24 |
9.47 |
10.83 |
12.38 |
|
|
CH4 total |
MtCH4 |
113 |
125 |
141 |
154 |
171 |
181 |
192 |
203 |
214 |
223 |
229 |
236 |
|
|
N2O total |
MtN2O-N |
2.3 |
2.6 |
2.7 |
2.7 |
2.8 |
3.0 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
3.7 |
3.8 |
|
|
SOx total |
MtS |
17.7 |
25.3 |
38.6 |
52.7 |
71.2 |
70.2 |
69.2 |
70.0 |
70.7 |
56.8 |
36.3 |
23.4 |
|
|
HFC |
MtC eq. |
0 |
5 |
11 |
18 |
27 |
38 |
54 |
77 |
100 |
130 |
167 |
204 |
|
|
PFC |
MtC eq. |
3 |
5 |
11 |
15 |
20 |
25 |
32 |
42 |
49 |
56 |
64 |
67 |
|
|
SF6 |
MtC eq. |
4 |
7 |
11 |
16 |
20 |
27 |
34 |
43 |
49 |
55 |
62 |
67 |
|
|
CO |
MtCO |
235 |
270 |
304 |
302 |
352 |
383 |
417 |
452 |
491 |
543 |
615 |
696 |
|
|
NMVOC |
Mt |
33 |
37 |
51 |
60 |
70 |
69 |
69 |
65 |
62 |
57 |
52 |
47 |
|
|
NOx |
MtN |
7 |
9 |
11 |
14 |
17 |
19 |
21 |
22 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
|
|
|
|
ALM
- A2 AIM |
|
1990 |
2000 |
2010 |
2020 |
2030 |
2040 |
2050 |
2060 |
2070 |
2080 |
2090 |
2100 |
|
|
Population |
Million |
1192 |
1512 |
1972 |
2432 |
2892 |
3338 |
3854 |
4169 |
4510 |
4847 |
5176 |
5527 |
|
|
|
|
GNP/GDP
(mex) |
Trillion US$ |
2.4 |
3.4 |
5.4 |
8.1 |
11.5 |
16.3 |
23.1 |
30.8 |
41.1 |
53.2 |
66.9 |
84.2 |
|
GNP/GDP
(ppp) Trillion (1990 prices) |
|
|
|
|
|
Final
Energy |
EJ |
|
|
|
Non-commercial |
|
14 |
20 |
31 |
33 |
34 |
32 |
29 |
22 |
17 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
|
Solids |
|
1 |
3 |
6 |
9 |
13 |
16 |
19 |
21 |
24 |
26 |
27 |
29 |
|
|
Liquids |
|
17 |
22 |
33 |
42 |
53 |
62 |
72 |
85 |
100 |
119 |
143 |
171 |
|
|
Gas |
|
4 |
9 |
18 |
27 |
39 |
48 |
58 |
64 |
70 |
78 |
87 |
97 |
|
|
Electricity |
|
4 |
7 |
11 |
16 |
23 |
32 |
44 |
58 |
76 |
96 |
119 |
146 |
|
|
Others |
|
|
|
|
Total |
|
40 |
60 |
99 |
126 |
163 |
190 |
221 |
253 |
289 |
332 |
384 |
444 |
|
|
|
|
Primary
Energy |
EJ |
|
|
|
Coal |
|
5 |
10 |
23 |
37 |
58 |
75 |
97 |
119 |
145 |
171 |
194 |
220 |
|
|
Oil |
|
27 |
35 |
50 |
52 |
55 |
59 |
62 |
65 |
67 |
66 |
62 |
58 |
|
|
Gas |
|
9 |
20 |
37 |
53 |
74 |
86 |
100 |
109 |
120 |
133 |
149 |
167 |
|
|
Nuclear |
|
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
5 |
12 |
17 |
24 |
33 |
43 |
56 |
|
|
Biomass |
|
14 |
18 |
19 |
37 |
60 |
68 |
76 |
86 |
97 |
104 |
106 |
109 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other Renewables |
2 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
4 |
6 |
7 |
11 |
17 |
24 |
31 |
41 |
|
|
Total |
|
57 |
85 |
132 |
184 |
254 |
297 |
354 |
406 |
470 |
531 |
586 |
651 |
|
|
|
|
Cumulative
Resources Use |
ZJ |
|
|
|
Coal |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.6 |
2.6 |
3.6 |
4.9 |
6.5 |
8.3 |
1.7 |
|
|
Oil |
|
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
2.3 |
3.0 |
3.6 |
4.2 |
4.9 |
5.5 |
6.7 |
|
|
Gas |
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.5 |
2.2 |
3.3 |
4.2 |
5.4 |
6.7 |
8.1 |
12.5 |
|
|
|
|
Cumulative
CO2 Emissions |
GtC |
0.0 |
16.4 |
38.5 |
65.9 |
97.8 |
135.6 |
179.6 |
231.2 |
292.0 |
363.2 |
446.3 |
542.8 |
|
|
|
|
Carbon
Sequestraction |
GtC |
|
|
|
Land Use |
|
Million ha |
|
|
Cropland |
|
371 |
390 |
400 |
409 |
419 |
430 |
440 |
451 |
462 |
474 |
486 |
498 |
|
|
Grasslands |
|
1680 |
1677 |
1693 |
1706 |
1719 |
1732 |
1744 |
1755 |
1765 |
1775 |
1785 |
1794 |
|
|
Energy Biomass |
|
0 |
0 |
0 |
47 |
103 |
134 |
166 |
169 |
172 |
168 |
155 |
143 |
|
|
Forest |
|
1745 |
1712 |
1686 |
1678 |
1680 |
1685 |
1689 |
1689 |
1688 |
1687 |
1686 |
1685 |
|
|
Others |
|
1684 |
1700 |
1701 |
1639 |
1558 |
1499 |
1440 |
1416 |
1392 |
1376 |
1368 |
1359 |
|
|
Total |
|
5480 |
5480 |
5480 |
5480 |
5480 |
5480 |
5480 |
5480 |
5480 |
5480 |
5480 |
5480 |
|
|
|
|
Anthropogenic
Emissions (standardized) |
|
|
Fossil Fuel CO2 |
GtC |
0.72 |
1.01 |
1.88 |
2.47 |
3.23 |
3.83 |
4.52 |
5.34 |
6.29 |
7.39 |
8.64 |
10.10 |
|
|
Other CO2 |
GtC |
0.73 |
0.82 |
0.71 |
0.42 |
0.26 |
0.24 |
0.22 |
0.24 |
0.27 |
0.30 |
0.29 |
0.28 |
|
|
Total CO2 |
GtC |
1.45 |
1.83 |
2.59 |
2.89 |
3.49 |
4.06 |
4.75 |
5.58 |
6.57 |
7.69 |
8.93 |
10.38 |
|
|
CH4 total |
MtCH4 |
77 |
85 |
99 |
109 |
121 |
126 |
131 |
135 |
140 |
143 |
145 |
148 |
|
|
N2O total |
MtN2O-N |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
|
|
SOx total |
MtS |
10.5 |
12.8 |
19.3 |
23.4 |
34.2 |
42.0 |
51.4 |
61.5 |
73.5 |
67.8 |
48.3 |
34.5 |
|
|
HFC |
MtC eq. |
0 |
2 |
19 |
32 |
49 |
69 |
98 |
139 |
181 |
233 |
295 |
336 |
|
|
PFC |
MtC eq. |
4 |
4 |
8 |
12 |
16 |
21 |
26 |
34 |
39 |
45 |
50 |
52 |
|
|
SF6 |
MtC eq. |
3 |
5 |
7 |
10 |
13 |
18 |
23 |
29 |
32 |
37 |
41 |
43 |
|
|
CO |
MtCO |
396 |
404 |
449 |
391 |
380 |
405 |
434 |
472 |
516 |
569 |
636 |
714 |
|
|
NMVOC |
Mt |
48 |
55 |
80 |
94 |
107 |
107 |
107 |
104 |
102 |
97 |
91 |
86 |
|
|
NOx |
MtN |
7 |
8 |
10 |
12 |
14 |
15 |
17 |
19 |
21 |
24 |
27 |
30 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|