IPCC SRES Emissions Scenarios - Version 1.1 |
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World
- B1HIGH MINICAM |
|
1990 |
2000 |
2010 |
2020 |
2030 |
2040 |
2050 |
2060 |
2070 |
2080 |
2090 |
2100 |
|
|
|
Population |
Million |
5293 |
6100 |
6874 |
7618 |
8122 |
8484 |
8703 |
8623 |
8430 |
8126 |
7621 |
7137 |
|
|
|
GNP/GDP
(mex) |
Trillion US$ |
20.7 |
27.4 |
37.5 |
51.0 |
73.0 |
100.7 |
134.0 |
172.6 |
211.9 |
251.7 |
289.7 |
330.6 |
GNP/GDP
(ppp) Trillion (1990 prices) |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
|
|
|
Final
Energy |
EJ |
|
|
|
Non-commercial |
|
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
Solids |
|
45 |
54 |
62 |
69 |
71 |
70 |
65 |
47 |
34 |
28 |
28 |
27 |
|
Liquids |
|
121 |
118 |
117 |
119 |
113 |
118 |
132 |
152 |
170 |
187 |
197 |
208 |
|
Gas |
|
52 |
59 |
64 |
67 |
64 |
58 |
50 |
55 |
59 |
63 |
65 |
67 |
|
Electricity |
|
35 |
49 |
69 |
97 |
143 |
189 |
235 |
281 |
322 |
360 |
370 |
381 |
|
Others |
|
0 |
0 |
16 |
47 |
73 |
107 |
148 |
167 |
182 |
194 |
201 |
209 |
|
Total |
|
253 |
279 |
328 |
400 |
465 |
542 |
630 |
701 |
768 |
832 |
861 |
891 |
|
|
|
Primary
Energy |
EJ |
|
|
|
Coal |
|
88 |
106 |
122 |
134 |
146 |
153 |
155 |
119 |
94 |
80 |
80 |
81 |
|
Oil |
|
131 |
127 |
125 |
127 |
116 |
118 |
133 |
158 |
179 |
197 |
210 |
222 |
|
Gas |
|
70 |
79 |
118 |
186 |
261 |
310 |
334 |
371 |
399 |
419 |
429 |
438 |
|
Nuclear |
|
24 |
23 |
26 |
31 |
35 |
41 |
48 |
49 |
46 |
41 |
43 |
46 |
|
Biomass |
|
0 |
5 |
11 |
20 |
36 |
54 |
74 |
81 |
81 |
75 |
75 |
74 |
|
|
|
Other Renewables |
24 |
24 |
28 |
33 |
41 |
68 |
113 |
169 |
224 |
278 |
265 |
253 |
|
Total |
|
336 |
365 |
430 |
532 |
635 |
743 |
857 |
946 |
1023 |
1089 |
1101 |
1114 |
|
|
|
Cumulative
Resources Use |
ZJ |
|
|
|
Coal |
|
0.1 |
1.1 |
2.3 |
3.5 |
5.0 |
6.4 |
8.0 |
9.2 |
10.3 |
11.2 |
12.0 |
12.8 |
|
Oil |
|
0.1 |
1.4 |
2.7 |
3.9 |
5.1 |
6.3 |
7.5 |
9.1 |
10.8 |
12.6 |
14.7 |
16.7 |
|
Gas |
|
0.1 |
0.8 |
1.9 |
3.3 |
5.8 |
8.6 |
11.7 |
15.4 |
19.2 |
23.3 |
27.5 |
31.8 |
|
|
|
Cumulative
CO2 Emissions |
GtC |
0.0 |
75.3 |
159.3 |
255.8 |
366.8 |
485.8 |
607.1 |
729.8 |
852.6 |
972.4 |
1086.5 |
1194.0 |
|
|
|
Carbon
Sequestraction |
GtC |
|
|
|
|
|
Land Use |
|
Million ha |
|
|
Cropland |
|
1472 |
1467 |
1455 |
1435 |
1373 |
1284 |
1167 |
992 |
833 |
691 |
592 |
493 |
|
Grasslands |
|
3209 |
3349 |
3591 |
3935 |
4239 |
4439 |
4537 |
4270 |
3979 |
3665 |
3479 |
3293 |
|
Energy Biomass |
|
0 |
0 |
6 |
18 |
47 |
83 |
125 |
125 |
109 |
79 |
70 |
61 |
|
Forest |
|
4173 |
4215 |
4144 |
3963 |
3720 |
3568 |
3506 |
3931 |
4339 |
4731 |
4805 |
4879 |
|
Others |
|
4310 |
4134 |
3968 |
3813 |
3785 |
3790 |
3829 |
3847 |
3904 |
3999 |
4219 |
4438 |
|
Total |
|
13164 |
13164 |
13164 |
13164 |
13164 |
13164 |
13164 |
13164 |
13164 |
13164 |
13164 |
13164 |
|
|
|
Anthropogenic
Emissions (standardized) |
|
|
Fossil Fuel CO2 |
GtC |
5.99 |
6.90 |
7.81 |
9.15 |
10.49 |
11.28 |
11.93 |
12.00 |
12.15 |
12.40 |
12.81 |
13.22 |
|
Other CO2 |
GtC |
1.11 |
1.07 |
1.01 |
1.34 |
1.22 |
0.82 |
0.25 |
0.36 |
0.05 |
-0.66 |
-1.73 |
-2.79 |
|
Total CO2 |
GtC |
7.10 |
7.97 |
8.82 |
10.48 |
11.70 |
12.09 |
12.18 |
12.35 |
12.21 |
11.74 |
11.08 |
10.43 |
|
CH4 total |
MtCH4 |
310 |
323 |
352 |
398 |
443 |
489 |
521 |
524 |
529 |
536 |
558 |
579 |
|
N2O total |
MtN2O-N |
6.7 |
7.0 |
8.1 |
9.5 |
11.0 |
12.9 |
14.6 |
15.3 |
16.1 |
16.8 |
18.2 |
19.7 |
|
SOx total |
MtS |
70.9 |
69.0 |
73.4 |
75.6 |
67.0 |
56.1 |
42.8 |
29.8 |
21.4 |
17.6 |
17.7 |
17.9 |
|
CFC/HFC/HCFC |
MtC eq. |
1672 |
883 |
784 |
291 |
257 |
298 |
338 |
337 |
333 |
327 |
315 |
299 |
|
PFC |
MtC eq. |
32 |
25 |
29 |
32 |
33 |
37 |
42 |
47 |
45 |
43 |
46 |
45 |
|
SF6 |
MtC eq. |
38 |
40 |
36 |
37 |
47 |
58 |
68 |
71 |
62 |
46 |
43 |
43 |
|
CO |
MtCO |
|
|
NMVOC |
Mt |
|
|
NOx |
MtN |
|
|
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|
OECD90
- B1HIGH MINICAM |
1990 |
2000 |
2010 |
2020 |
2030 |
2040 |
2050 |
2060 |
2070 |
2080 |
2090 |
2100 |
|
|
|
Population |
Million |
838 |
908 |
965 |
1007 |
1024 |
1066 |
1081 |
1084 |
1090 |
1098 |
1105 |
1112 |
|
|
|
GNP/GDP
(mex) |
Trillion US$ |
16.3 |
20.5 |
25.1 |
30.1 |
32.0 |
38.8 |
44.6 |
50.2 |
56.4 |
63.1 |
71.0 |
79.3 |
GNP/GDP
(ppp) Trillion (1990 prices) |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
|
|
|
Final
Energy |
EJ |
|
|
|
Non-commercial |
|
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
Solids |
|
10 |
12 |
10 |
7 |
6 |
4 |
4 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
|
Liquids |
|
72 |
66 |
57 |
45 |
37 |
20 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
|
Gas |
|
27 |
33 |
34 |
32 |
29 |
20 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
|
Electricity |
|
22 |
25 |
27 |
26 |
25 |
24 |
23 |
26 |
29 |
32 |
33 |
34 |
|
Others |
|
0 |
0 |
12 |
37 |
43 |
61 |
73 |
75 |
77 |
80 |
83 |
85 |
|
Total |
|
130 |
136 |
141 |
146 |
140 |
129 |
131 |
135 |
141 |
150 |
155 |
160 |
|
|
|
Primary
Energy |
EJ |
|
|
|
Coal |
|
40 |
41 |
36 |
23 |
23 |
22 |
24 |
20 |
16 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
|
Oil |
|
76 |
71 |
61 |
47 |
38 |
18 |
14 |
15 |
17 |
20 |
22 |
23 |
|
Gas |
|
34 |
42 |
60 |
87 |
89 |
91 |
89 |
92 |
97 |
101 |
104 |
107 |
|
Nuclear |
|
20 |
14 |
10 |
7 |
6 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
3 |
4 |
4 |
|
Biomass |
|
0 |
2 |
4 |
7 |
8 |
13 |
17 |
17 |
16 |
15 |
15 |
15 |
|
|
|
Other Renewables |
12 |
11 |
11 |
10 |
10 |
10 |
13 |
17 |
21 |
26 |
26 |
25 |
|
Total |
|
182 |
181 |
180 |
181 |
173 |
159 |
160 |
165 |
171 |
177 |
183 |
188 |
|
|
|
Cumulative
Resources Use |
ZJ |
|
|
|
Coal |
|
0.0 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
2.3 |
2.5 |
2.6 |
|
Oil |
|
0.1 |
0.8 |
1.4 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
2.6 |
2.7 |
2.9 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
3.5 |
3.7 |
|
Gas |
|
0.0 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
3.5 |
4.4 |
5.3 |
6.2 |
7.2 |
8.2 |
9.3 |
|
|
|
Cumulative
CO2 Emissions |
GtC |
0.0 |
30.1 |
62.4 |
94.6 |
125.4 |
153.3 |
178.1 |
202.0 |
225.7 |
248.5 |
269.9 |
289.7 |
|
|
|
Carbon
Sequestraction |
GtC |
|
|
|
|
|
Land Use |
|
Million ha |
|
|
Cropland |
|
408 |
411 |
406 |
394 |
382 |
340 |
303 |
258 |
219 |
187 |
156 |
125 |
|
Grasslands |
|
796 |
822 |
866 |
929 |
955 |
1014 |
1028 |
983 |
937 |
890 |
841 |
793 |
|
Energy Biomass |
|
0 |
0 |
4 |
13 |
17 |
30 |
42 |
38 |
34 |
28 |
27 |
26 |
|
Forest |
|
921 |
931 |
923 |
897 |
881 |
850 |
853 |
941 |
1017 |
1079 |
1110 |
1140 |
|
Others |
|
998 |
959 |
924 |
890 |
888 |
888 |
897 |
902 |
916 |
938 |
989 |
1039 |
|
Total |
|
3123 |
3123 |
3123 |
3123 |
3123 |
3123 |
3123 |
3123 |
3123 |
3123 |
3123 |
3123 |
|
|
|
Anthropogenic
Emissions (standardized) |
|
|
Fossil Fuel CO2 |
GtC |
2.83 |
3.20 |
3.15 |
2.99 |
2.85 |
2.54 |
2.46 |
2.44 |
2.44 |
2.47 |
2.56 |
2.65 |
|
Other CO2 |
GtC |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.11 |
0.18 |
0.15 |
0.03 |
-0.07 |
-0.05 |
-0.11 |
-0.24 |
-0.50 |
-0.75 |
|
Total CO2 |
GtC |
2.83 |
3.20 |
3.26 |
3.17 |
3.01 |
2.57 |
2.39 |
2.39 |
2.33 |
2.22 |
2.06 |
1.90 |
|
CH4 total |
MtCH4 |
73 |
74 |
82 |
91 |
96 |
114 |
127 |
137 |
143 |
145 |
153 |
161 |
|
N2O total |
MtN2O-N |
2.6 |
2.6 |
2.8 |
3.0 |
3.2 |
3.7 |
4.0 |
4.2 |
4.4 |
4.6 |
4.8 |
5.0 |
|
SOx total |
MtS |
22.7 |
17.0 |
12.1 |
5.1 |
3.6 |
2.6 |
2.2 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
2.4 |
2.7 |
3.0 |
|
HFC |
MtC eq. |
19 |
58 |
108 |
103 |
109 |
112 |
116 |
117 |
117 |
119 |
120 |
120 |
|
PFC |
MtC eq. |
18 |
13 |
12 |
10 |
8 |
7 |
7 |
7 |
7 |
7 |
7 |
6 |
|
SF6 |
MtC eq. |
24 |
23 |
16 |
5 |
6 |
6 |
7 |
7 |
8 |
8 |
8 |
8 |
|
CO |
MtCO |
|
|
NMVOC |
Mt |
|
|
NOx |
MtN |
|
|
|
|
REF
- B1HIGH MINICAM |
|
1990 |
2000 |
2010 |
2020 |
2030 |
2040 |
2050 |
2060 |
2070 |
2080 |
2090 |
2100 |
|
|
|
Population |
Million |
428 |
425 |
426 |
433 |
434 |
431 |
423 |
408 |
392 |
374 |
357 |
340 |
|
|
|
GNP/GDP
(mex) |
Trillion US$ |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
2.0 |
3.0 |
4.1 |
5.3 |
7.1 |
9.2 |
11.4 |
13.4 |
15.5 |
GNP/GDP
(ppp) Trillion (1990 prices) |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
|
|
|
Final
Energy |
EJ |
|
|
|
Non-commercial |
|
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
Solids |
|
13 |
10 |
8 |
7 |
5 |
4 |
4 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Liquids |
|
18 |
11 |
8 |
8 |
8 |
7 |
7 |
7 |
6 |
6 |
6 |
6 |
|
Gas |
|
19 |
15 |
13 |
13 |
11 |
9 |
7 |
6 |
6 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
|
Electricity |
|
6 |
8 |
11 |
16 |
20 |
23 |
24 |
24 |
23 |
23 |
22 |
21 |
|
Others |
|
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Total |
|
56 |
44 |
40 |
44 |
45 |
44 |
43 |
41 |
39 |
36 |
35 |
33 |
|
|
|
Primary
Energy |
EJ |
|
|
|
Coal |
|
18 |
17 |
16 |
16 |
16 |
16 |
17 |
9 |
6 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
|
Oil |
|
20 |
13 |
10 |
10 |
8 |
7 |
7 |
7 |
7 |
7 |
7 |
6 |
|
Gas |
|
26 |
20 |
20 |
28 |
31 |
30 |
24 |
22 |
19 |
17 |
16 |
15 |
|
Nuclear |
|
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
6 |
5 |
5 |
4 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
|
Biomass |
|
0 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
4 |
5 |
4 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
|
|
|
Other Renewables |
3 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
8 |
13 |
16 |
18 |
19 |
17 |
16 |
|
Total |
|
70 |
57 |
56 |
67 |
69 |
70 |
69 |
62 |
57 |
53 |
50 |
46 |
|
|
|
Cumulative
Resources Use |
ZJ |
|
|
|
Coal |
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
|
Oil |
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
|
Gas |
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
2.3 |
2.5 |
|
|
|
Cumulative
CO2 Emissions |
GtC |
0.0 |
11.0 |
19.9 |
29.4 |
39.7 |
49.8 |
58.8 |
66.6 |
73.5 |
78.7 |
82.2 |
83.9 |
|
|
|
Carbon
Sequestraction |
GtC |
|
|
|
|
|
Land Use |
|
Million ha |
|
|
Cropland |
|
284 |
293 |
300 |
304 |
297 |
282 |
259 |
211 |
169 |
131 |
115 |
99 |
|
Grasslands |
|
395 |
410 |
453 |
523 |
588 |
631 |
652 |
576 |
502 |
428 |
417 |
406 |
|
Energy Biomass |
|
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
5 |
7 |
7 |
3 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
Forest |
|
1007 |
1016 |
997 |
948 |
889 |
857 |
851 |
973 |
1081 |
1177 |
1163 |
1150 |
|
Others |
|
691 |
657 |
628 |
602 |
598 |
600 |
609 |
613 |
624 |
642 |
682 |
722 |
|
Total |
|
2377 |
2377 |
2377 |
2377 |
2377 |
2377 |
2377 |
2377 |
2377 |
2377 |
2377 |
2377 |
|
|
|
Anthropogenic
Emissions (standardized) |
|
|
Fossil Fuel CO2 |
GtC |
1.30 |
0.91 |
0.84 |
0.95 |
0.95 |
0.91 |
0.82 |
0.65 |
0.53 |
0.46 |
0.44 |
0.43 |
|
Other CO2 |
GtC |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.03 |
0.08 |
0.09 |
0.07 |
0.00 |
0.11 |
0.09 |
-0.04 |
-0.19 |
-0.34 |
|
Total CO2 |
GtC |
1.30 |
0.91 |
0.87 |
1.02 |
1.04 |
0.97 |
0.82 |
0.75 |
0.62 |
0.42 |
0.26 |
0.09 |
|
CH4 total |
MtCH4 |
47 |
39 |
47 |
63 |
72 |
82 |
92 |
86 |
86 |
90 |
100 |
111 |
|
N2O total |
MtN2O-N |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
1.5 |
1.7 |
1.9 |
|
SOx total |
MtS |
17.0 |
11.0 |
9.9 |
9.5 |
9.1 |
8.1 |
6.5 |
3.8 |
2.1 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
|
HFC |
MtC eq. |
0 |
4 |
9 |
15 |
20 |
24 |
26 |
27 |
27 |
27 |
27 |
26 |
|
PFC |
MtC eq. |
7 |
4 |
6 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
9 |
8 |
8 |
8 |
|
SF6 |
MtC eq. |
8 |
6 |
4 |
7 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
9 |
7 |
6 |
4 |
4 |
|
CO |
MtCO |
|
|
NMVOC |
Mt |
|
|
NOx |
MtN |
|
|
|
|
ASIA
- B1HIGH MINICAM |
|
1990 |
2000 |
2010 |
2020 |
2030 |
2040 |
2050 |
2060 |
2070 |
2080 |
2090 |
2100 |
|
|
|
Population |
Million |
2790 |
3226 |
3608 |
3937 |
4115 |
4210 |
4219 |
4062 |
3852 |
3589 |
3245 |
2919 |
|
|
|
GNP/GDP
(mex) |
Trillion US$ |
1.4 |
3.1 |
6.4 |
11.5 |
21.7 |
34.1 |
48.6 |
63.3 |
77.6 |
91.5 |
103.9 |
117.1 |
GNP/GDP
(ppp) Trillion (1990 prices) |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
|
|
|
Final
Energy |
EJ |
|
|
|
Non-commercial |
|
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
Solids |
|
20 |
29 |
40 |
51 |
53 |
53 |
49 |
35 |
25 |
20 |
19 |
18 |
|
Liquids |
|
14 |
19 |
25 |
33 |
39 |
47 |
54 |
60 |
66 |
70 |
73 |
75 |
|
Gas |
|
2 |
5 |
8 |
11 |
13 |
13 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
16 |
16 |
|
Electricity |
|
4 |
11 |
22 |
40 |
68 |
96 |
123 |
143 |
161 |
176 |
179 |
182 |
|
Others |
|
0 |
0 |
2 |
6 |
12 |
21 |
33 |
38 |
41 |
43 |
43 |
44 |
|
Total |
|
40 |
64 |
97 |
140 |
185 |
229 |
271 |
290 |
308 |
326 |
330 |
335 |
|
|
|
Primary
Energy |
EJ |
|
|
|
Coal |
|
26 |
43 |
62 |
84 |
92 |
93 |
87 |
65 |
49 |
41 |
40 |
39 |
|
Oil |
|
16 |
20 |
27 |
36 |
41 |
47 |
55 |
63 |
70 |
74 |
78 |
81 |
|
Gas |
|
3 |
9 |
23 |
45 |
87 |
115 |
129 |
140 |
146 |
147 |
147 |
147 |
|
Nuclear |
|
1 |
4 |
8 |
13 |
17 |
21 |
27 |
26 |
24 |
21 |
21 |
22 |
|
Biomass |
|
0 |
2 |
5 |
9 |
16 |
24 |
32 |
35 |
34 |
31 |
30 |
29 |
|
|
|
Other Renewables |
3 |
4 |
5 |
7 |
11 |
26 |
52 |
80 |
107 |
132 |
124 |
116 |
|
Total |
|
49 |
81 |
129 |
194 |
264 |
327 |
381 |
408 |
430 |
446 |
440 |
434 |
|
|
|
Cumulative
Resources Use |
ZJ |
|
|
|
Coal |
|
0.0 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
1.6 |
2.6 |
3.5 |
4.4 |
5.1 |
5.6 |
6.1 |
6.5 |
6.9 |
|
Oil |
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
2.1 |
2.7 |
3.4 |
4.1 |
4.9 |
5.6 |
|
Gas |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.3 |
2.3 |
3.5 |
4.9 |
6.3 |
7.8 |
9.2 |
10.7 |
|
|
|
Cumulative
CO2 Emissions |
GtC |
0.0 |
17.8 |
41.8 |
74.9 |
117.9 |
167.8 |
220.7 |
272.8 |
322.1 |
368.9 |
413.9 |
457.6 |
|
|
|
Carbon
Sequestraction |
GtC |
|
|
|
|
|
Land Use |
|
Million ha |
|
|
Cropland |
|
389 |
399 |
406 |
408 |
395 |
373 |
343 |
296 |
254 |
215 |
186 |
158 |
|
Grasslands |
|
508 |
524 |
554 |
599 |
636 |
663 |
680 |
666 |
646 |
620 |
593 |
565 |
|
Energy Biomass |
|
0 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
16 |
30 |
44 |
44 |
36 |
22 |
16 |
10 |
|
Forest |
|
1168 |
1144 |
1107 |
1058 |
1020 |
999 |
995 |
1056 |
1126 |
1207 |
1268 |
1329 |
|
Others |
|
664 |
633 |
605 |
581 |
578 |
580 |
587 |
591 |
602 |
620 |
659 |
697 |
|
Total |
|
2729 |
2700 |
2674 |
2650 |
2645 |
2645 |
2650 |
2653 |
2664 |
2683 |
2721 |
2759 |
|
|
|
Anthropogenic
Emissions (standardized) |
|
|
Fossil Fuel CO2 |
GtC |
1.15 |
1.78 |
2.58 |
3.61 |
4.51 |
5.06 |
5.27 |
4.99 |
4.79 |
4.68 |
4.71 |
4.75 |
|
Other CO2 |
GtC |
0.37 |
0.26 |
0.19 |
0.24 |
0.23 |
0.18 |
0.08 |
0.07 |
0.01 |
-0.12 |
-0.27 |
-0.43 |
|
Total CO2 |
GtC |
1.53 |
2.03 |
2.77 |
3.86 |
4.74 |
5.24 |
5.36 |
5.06 |
4.79 |
4.56 |
4.44 |
4.31 |
|
CH4 total |
MtCH4 |
113 |
125 |
133 |
144 |
155 |
160 |
161 |
157 |
155 |
154 |
151 |
148 |
|
N2O total |
MtN2O-N |
2.3 |
2.6 |
2.9 |
3.3 |
3.8 |
4.2 |
4.7 |
4.9 |
5.1 |
5.4 |
5.8 |
6.3 |
|
SOx total |
MtS |
17.7 |
25.3 |
34.7 |
43.5 |
37.6 |
29.4 |
19.1 |
11.7 |
7.1 |
5.3 |
5.3 |
5.3 |
|
HFC |
MtC eq. |
0 |
4 |
11 |
20 |
34 |
56 |
93 |
90 |
85 |
79 |
72 |
64 |
|
PFC |
MtC eq. |
3 |
5 |
7 |
9 |
11 |
14 |
17 |
20 |
18 |
18 |
18 |
18 |
|
SF6 |
MtC eq. |
4 |
7 |
11 |
17 |
23 |
27 |
30 |
32 |
26 |
19 |
16 |
16 |
|
CO |
MtCO |
|
|
NMVOC |
Mt |
|
|
NOx |
MtN |
|
|
|
|
ALM
- B1HIGH MINICAM |
|
1990 |
2000 |
2010 |
2020 |
2030 |
2040 |
2050 |
2060 |
2070 |
2080 |
2090 |
2100 |
|
|
|
Population |
Million |
1236 |
1541 |
1876 |
2241 |
2531 |
2778 |
2980 |
3068 |
3096 |
3064 |
2913 |
2766 |
|
|
|
GNP/GDP
(mex) |
Trillion US$ |
1.9 |
2.8 |
4.6 |
7.4 |
14.3 |
23.7 |
35.6 |
52.0 |
68.6 |
85.6 |
101.5 |
118.7 |
GNP/GDP
(ppp) Trillion (1990 prices) |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
|
|
|
Final
Energy |
EJ |
|
|
|
Non-commercial |
|
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
Solids |
|
2 |
3 |
4 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
7 |
6 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
|
Liquids |
|
17 |
21 |
26 |
33 |
37 |
44 |
55 |
68 |
80 |
91 |
99 |
106 |
|
Gas |
|
5 |
7 |
9 |
12 |
15 |
17 |
16 |
19 |
22 |
25 |
26 |
27 |
|
Electricity |
|
3 |
6 |
10 |
15 |
30 |
47 |
65 |
88 |
109 |
129 |
137 |
145 |
|
Others |
|
0 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
11 |
24 |
40 |
52 |
63 |
70 |
75 |
79 |
|
Total |
|
27 |
36 |
50 |
70 |
101 |
139 |
185 |
235 |
280 |
321 |
341 |
362 |
|
|
|
Primary
Energy |
EJ |
|
|
|
Coal |
|
4 |
6 |
8 |
11 |
16 |
22 |
28 |
26 |
24 |
22 |
23 |
25 |
|
Oil |
|
20 |
22 |
27 |
34 |
38 |
46 |
57 |
72 |
85 |
96 |
104 |
112 |
|
Gas |
|
7 |
9 |
16 |
27 |
52 |
74 |
93 |
117 |
137 |
153 |
161 |
169 |
|
Nuclear |
|
0 |
2 |
3 |
5 |
7 |
10 |
13 |
15 |
15 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
|
Biomass |
|
0 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
7 |
13 |
20 |
25 |
27 |
26 |
27 |
27 |
|
|
|
Other Renewables |
5 |
6 |
8 |
12 |
15 |
23 |
36 |
57 |
78 |
101 |
98 |
96 |
|
Total |
|
35 |
46 |
65 |
91 |
136 |
188 |
246 |
311 |
366 |
413 |
429 |
446 |
|
|
|
Cumulative
Resources Use |
ZJ |
|
|
|
Coal |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
1.8 |
2.0 |
|
Oil |
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
2.1 |
2.8 |
3.6 |
4.4 |
5.5 |
6.5 |
|
Gas |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.5 |
2.3 |
3.5 |
4.7 |
6.1 |
7.7 |
9.3 |
|
|
|
Cumulative
CO2 Emissions |
GtC |
0.0 |
16.4 |
35.1 |
56.9 |
83.7 |
114.8 |
149.5 |
188.3 |
231.4 |
276.3 |
320.5 |
362.8 |
|
|
|
Carbon
Sequestraction |
GtC |
|
|
|
|
|
Land Use |
|
Million ha |
|
|
Cropland |
|
391 |
363 |
342 |
329 |
311 |
289 |
263 |
226 |
191 |
157 |
134 |
111 |
|
Grasslands |
|
1510 |
1594 |
1719 |
1884 |
2033 |
2131 |
2177 |
2045 |
1895 |
1727 |
1628 |
1528 |
|
Energy Biomass |
|
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
16 |
33 |
39 |
38 |
30 |
27 |
25 |
|
Forest |
|
3641 |
3592 |
3492 |
3343 |
3203 |
3111 |
3065 |
3227 |
3415 |
3629 |
3753 |
3876 |
|
Others |
|
1957 |
1884 |
1812 |
1740 |
1724 |
1722 |
1736 |
1740 |
1762 |
1799 |
1890 |
1980 |
|
Total |
|
7499 |
7432 |
7365 |
7296 |
7276 |
7269 |
7273 |
7277 |
7300 |
7343 |
7431 |
7520 |
|
|
|
Anthropogenic
Emissions (standardized) |
|
|
Fossil Fuel CO2 |
GtC |
0.72 |
1.01 |
1.24 |
1.59 |
2.18 |
2.78 |
3.38 |
3.92 |
4.40 |
4.79 |
5.09 |
5.40 |
|
Other CO2 |
GtC |
0.73 |
0.82 |
0.68 |
0.84 |
0.74 |
0.54 |
0.23 |
0.23 |
0.06 |
-0.27 |
-0.77 |
-1.27 |
|
Total CO2 |
GtC |
1.45 |
1.83 |
1.93 |
2.43 |
2.92 |
3.31 |
3.62 |
4.15 |
4.46 |
4.53 |
4.32 |
4.13 |
|
CH4 total |
MtCH4 |
77 |
85 |
90 |
101 |
120 |
134 |
142 |
143 |
145 |
147 |
154 |
160 |
|
N2O total |
MtN2O-N |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
2.2 |
2.9 |
3.6 |
4.3 |
4.6 |
5.0 |
5.3 |
5.9 |
6.5 |
|
SOx total |
MtS |
10.5 |
12.8 |
13.7 |
14.5 |
13.7 |
12.9 |
12.1 |
9.1 |
7.0 |
5.6 |
5.3 |
5.0 |
|
HFC |
MtC eq. |
0 |
2 |
16 |
28 |
42 |
64 |
98 |
102 |
102 |
101 |
96 |
89 |
|
PFC |
MtC eq. |
4 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
11 |
11 |
11 |
12 |
12 |
|
SF6 |
MtC eq. |
2 |
5 |
5 |
8 |
12 |
17 |
22 |
24 |
21 |
14 |
14 |
14 |
|
CO |
MtCO |
|
|
NMVOC |
Mt |
|
|
NOx |
MtN |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|