IPCC SRES Emissions Scenarios - Version 1.1 |
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World
- B2HIGH MINICAM |
|
1990 |
2000 |
2010 |
2020 |
2030 |
2040 |
2050 |
2060 |
2070 |
2080 |
2090 |
2100 |
|
|
|
Population |
Million |
5293 |
6147 |
7009 |
7880 |
8640 |
9304 |
9874 |
10216 |
10453 |
10585 |
10501 |
10418 |
|
|
|
GNP/GDP
(mex) |
Trillion US$ |
20.7 |
27.4 |
36.3 |
47.3 |
61.8 |
79.8 |
101.1 |
126.5 |
154.0 |
183.6 |
215.7 |
250.7 |
GNP/GDP
(ppp) Trillion (1990 prices) |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
|
|
|
Final
Energy |
EJ |
|
|
|
Non-commercial |
|
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
Solids |
|
45 |
57 |
72 |
89 |
104 |
118 |
131 |
119 |
111 |
108 |
105 |
102 |
|
Liquids |
|
121 |
124 |
131 |
143 |
143 |
159 |
193 |
225 |
258 |
292 |
318 |
344 |
|
Gas |
|
52 |
62 |
72 |
84 |
81 |
74 |
62 |
58 |
57 |
60 |
52 |
44 |
|
Electricity |
|
35 |
53 |
80 |
116 |
159 |
209 |
268 |
339 |
415 |
497 |
574 |
651 |
|
Others |
|
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
Total |
|
253 |
295 |
355 |
433 |
486 |
560 |
654 |
740 |
841 |
957 |
1049 |
1141 |
|
|
|
Primary
Energy |
EJ |
|
|
|
Coal |
|
88 |
115 |
145 |
178 |
263 |
362 |
474 |
540 |
592 |
630 |
700 |
771 |
|
Oil |
|
131 |
133 |
139 |
149 |
114 |
91 |
80 |
74 |
77 |
88 |
72 |
57 |
|
Gas |
|
70 |
83 |
115 |
165 |
180 |
185 |
181 |
183 |
191 |
206 |
173 |
140 |
|
Nuclear |
|
24 |
25 |
31 |
42 |
60 |
79 |
100 |
108 |
121 |
142 |
161 |
180 |
|
Biomass |
|
0 |
6 |
12 |
17 |
27 |
40 |
56 |
86 |
110 |
128 |
150 |
172 |
|
|
|
Other Renewables |
24 |
24 |
27 |
32 |
40 |
55 |
75 |
115 |
158 |
202 |
254 |
305 |
|
Total |
|
336 |
386 |
468 |
582 |
684 |
812 |
966 |
1105 |
1248 |
1395 |
1510 |
1625 |
|
|
|
Cumulative
Resources Use |
ZJ |
|
|
|
Coal |
|
0.1 |
1.2 |
2.5 |
4.1 |
6.5 |
9.7 |
13.7 |
19.0 |
24.6 |
30.6 |
37.5 |
44.4 |
|
Oil |
|
0.1 |
1.5 |
2.8 |
4.3 |
5.5 |
6.5 |
7.4 |
8.1 |
8.9 |
9.7 |
10.5 |
11.2 |
|
Gas |
|
0.1 |
0.9 |
1.9 |
3.2 |
5.0 |
6.8 |
8.6 |
10.5 |
12.4 |
14.3 |
16.1 |
17.9 |
|
|
|
Cumulative
CO2 Emissions |
GtC |
0.0 |
75.3 |
161.4 |
264.0 |
385.8 |
525.4 |
684.8 |
863.1 |
1055.4 |
1256.8 |
1464.6 |
1679.0 |
|
|
|
Carbon
Sequestraction |
GtC |
|
|
|
|
|
Land Use |
|
Million ha |
|
|
Cropland |
|
1472 |
1473 |
1491 |
1526 |
1522 |
1488 |
1423 |
1284 |
1163 |
1060 |
975 |
890 |
|
Grasslands |
|
3209 |
3347 |
3570 |
3880 |
4164 |
4370 |
4501 |
4326 |
4168 |
4027 |
3957 |
3886 |
|
Energy Biomass |
|
0 |
3 |
8 |
13 |
36 |
74 |
128 |
233 |
308 |
352 |
430 |
507 |
|
Forest |
|
4173 |
4214 |
4140 |
3952 |
3701 |
3531 |
3441 |
3733 |
3962 |
4129 |
4093 |
4058 |
|
Others |
|
4310 |
4127 |
3955 |
3794 |
3742 |
3701 |
3672 |
3588 |
3562 |
3596 |
3710 |
3824 |
|
Total |
|
13164 |
13164 |
13164 |
13164 |
13164 |
13164 |
13164 |
13164 |
13164 |
13164 |
13164 |
13164 |
|
|
|
Anthropogenic
Emissions (standardized) |
|
|
Fossil Fuel CO2 |
GtC |
5.99 |
6.90 |
8.20 |
9.92 |
11.77 |
13.87 |
16.44 |
18.03 |
19.52 |
20.92 |
21.97 |
23.10 |
|
Other CO2 |
GtC |
1.11 |
1.07 |
1.03 |
1.38 |
1.29 |
0.99 |
0.57 |
0.62 |
0.28 |
-0.44 |
-0.88 |
-1.32 |
|
Total CO2 |
GtC |
7.10 |
7.97 |
9.23 |
11.30 |
13.06 |
14.86 |
17.02 |
18.65 |
19.80 |
20.47 |
21.09 |
21.78 |
|
CH4 total |
MtCH4 |
310 |
323 |
353 |
397 |
439 |
483 |
520 |
533 |
549 |
567 |
590 |
613 |
|
N2O total |
MtN2O-N |
6.7 |
7.0 |
8.0 |
9.2 |
10.4 |
11.9 |
13.2 |
13.7 |
14.3 |
15.2 |
16.3 |
17.5 |
|
SOx total |
MtS |
70.9 |
69.0 |
81.6 |
86.9 |
97.7 |
104.4 |
107.0 |
86.4 |
69.1 |
55.0 |
45.6 |
36.2 |
|
CFC/HFC/HCFC |
MtC eq. |
1672 |
883 |
786 |
299 |
272 |
315 |
346 |
413 |
483 |
548 |
603 |
649 |
|
PFC |
MtC eq. |
32 |
25 |
42 |
55 |
70 |
88 |
107 |
120 |
128 |
130 |
127 |
121 |
|
SF6 |
MtC eq. |
38 |
40 |
48 |
55 |
60 |
76 |
79 |
80 |
74 |
63 |
65 |
69 |
|
CO |
MtCO |
|
|
NMVOC |
Mt |
|
|
NOx |
MtN |
|
|
|
|
OECD90
- B2HIGH MINICAM |
1990 |
2000 |
2010 |
2020 |
2030 |
2040 |
2050 |
2060 |
2070 |
2080 |
2090 |
2100 |
|
|
|
Population |
Million |
838 |
907 |
958 |
993 |
1003 |
1024 |
1023 |
1013 |
1006 |
1002 |
1003 |
1004 |
|
|
|
GNP/GDP
(mex) |
Trillion US$ |
16.3 |
20.5 |
24.5 |
28.4 |
29.4 |
32.9 |
35.9 |
38.0 |
40.4 |
43.0 |
46.6 |
50.3 |
GNP/GDP
(ppp) Trillion (1990 prices) |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
|
|
|
Final
Energy |
EJ |
|
|
|
Non-commercial |
|
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
Solids |
|
10 |
12 |
13 |
13 |
13 |
13 |
14 |
12 |
11 |
10 |
10 |
9 |
|
Liquids |
|
72 |
71 |
69 |
65 |
59 |
47 |
47 |
46 |
45 |
46 |
47 |
47 |
|
Gas |
|
27 |
35 |
42 |
47 |
44 |
34 |
26 |
22 |
20 |
20 |
17 |
14 |
|
Electricity |
|
22 |
28 |
34 |
42 |
44 |
52 |
58 |
61 |
64 |
67 |
72 |
76 |
|
Others |
|
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
Total |
|
130 |
146 |
158 |
166 |
160 |
146 |
146 |
140 |
139 |
143 |
145 |
146 |
|
|
|
Primary
Energy |
EJ |
|
|
|
Coal |
|
40 |
45 |
46 |
41 |
47 |
67 |
82 |
93 |
104 |
113 |
136 |
159 |
|
Oil |
|
76 |
76 |
72 |
66 |
53 |
23 |
13 |
7 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
|
Gas |
|
34 |
45 |
61 |
82 |
79 |
67 |
57 |
50 |
46 |
44 |
36 |
27 |
|
Nuclear |
|
20 |
15 |
13 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
15 |
14 |
14 |
15 |
17 |
18 |
|
Biomass |
|
0 |
2 |
4 |
4 |
5 |
8 |
10 |
14 |
16 |
18 |
21 |
24 |
|
|
|
Other Renewables |
12 |
11 |
10 |
10 |
10 |
11 |
13 |
16 |
20 |
24 |
29 |
34 |
|
Total |
|
182 |
195 |
206 |
216 |
208 |
190 |
189 |
194 |
203 |
217 |
241 |
265 |
|
|
|
Cumulative
Resources Use |
ZJ |
|
|
|
Coal |
|
0.0 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
2.5 |
3.2 |
4.1 |
5.1 |
6.1 |
7.5 |
8.8 |
|
Oil |
|
0.1 |
0.8 |
1.6 |
2.3 |
2.5 |
3.1 |
3.3 |
3.3 |
3.4 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
|
Gas |
|
0.0 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
3.2 |
3.8 |
4.3 |
4.8 |
5.3 |
5.6 |
6.0 |
|
|
|
Cumulative
CO2 Emissions |
GtC |
0.0 |
30.1 |
63.6 |
99.4 |
135.5 |
170.2 |
204.4 |
239.0 |
273.4 |
307.2 |
341.1 |
376.0 |
|
|
|
Carbon
Sequestraction |
GtC |
|
|
|
|
|
Land Use |
|
Million ha |
|
|
Cropland |
|
408 |
412 |
416 |
422 |
417 |
397 |
374 |
337 |
308 |
285 |
260 |
235 |
|
Grasslands |
|
796 |
819 |
859 |
915 |
938 |
993 |
1013 |
984 |
960 |
940 |
924 |
908 |
|
Energy Biomass |
|
0 |
3 |
6 |
7 |
11 |
24 |
36 |
53 |
65 |
71 |
84 |
97 |
|
Forest |
|
921 |
931 |
922 |
894 |
877 |
843 |
840 |
907 |
954 |
980 |
981 |
981 |
|
Others |
|
998 |
958 |
920 |
885 |
879 |
866 |
860 |
842 |
837 |
846 |
874 |
902 |
|
Total |
|
3123 |
3123 |
3123 |
3123 |
3123 |
3123 |
3123 |
3123 |
3123 |
3123 |
3123 |
3123 |
|
|
|
Anthropogenic
Emissions (standardized) |
|
|
Fossil Fuel CO2 |
GtC |
2.83 |
3.20 |
3.39 |
3.46 |
3.39 |
3.30 |
3.42 |
3.41 |
3.44 |
3.52 |
3.73 |
3.95 |
|
Other CO2 |
GtC |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.12 |
0.19 |
0.17 |
0.09 |
0.03 |
0.05 |
-0.02 |
-0.18 |
-0.29 |
-0.40 |
|
Total CO2 |
GtC |
2.83 |
3.20 |
3.50 |
3.65 |
3.56 |
3.39 |
3.45 |
3.47 |
3.43 |
3.33 |
3.44 |
3.55 |
|
CH4 total |
MtCH4 |
73 |
74 |
82 |
91 |
95 |
105 |
113 |
117 |
123 |
130 |
141 |
152 |
|
N2O total |
MtN2O-N |
2.6 |
2.6 |
2.8 |
3.0 |
3.1 |
3.5 |
3.8 |
3.8 |
3.9 |
4.1 |
4.4 |
4.6 |
|
SOx total |
MtS |
22.7 |
17.0 |
14.8 |
6.7 |
5.5 |
4.8 |
4.4 |
3.5 |
3.2 |
3.7 |
4.3 |
5.0 |
|
HFC |
MtC eq. |
19 |
57 |
105 |
99 |
102 |
101 |
102 |
101 |
100 |
98 |
98 |
97 |
|
PFC |
MtC eq. |
18 |
13 |
14 |
13 |
12 |
11 |
10 |
8 |
7 |
7 |
7 |
7 |
|
SF6 |
MtC eq. |
24 |
23 |
25 |
23 |
17 |
13 |
13 |
11 |
10 |
11 |
10 |
10 |
|
CO |
MtCO |
|
|
NMVOC |
Mt |
|
|
NOx |
MtN |
|
|
|
|
REF
- B2HIGH MINICAM |
|
1990 |
2000 |
2010 |
2020 |
2030 |
2040 |
2050 |
2060 |
2070 |
2080 |
2090 |
2100 |
|
|
|
Population |
Million |
428 |
425 |
427 |
435 |
438 |
438 |
435 |
429 |
423 |
418 |
412 |
407 |
|
|
|
GNP/GDP
(mex) |
Trillion US$ |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
2.3 |
2.8 |
3.4 |
4.4 |
5.6 |
6.9 |
8.2 |
9.6 |
GNP/GDP
(ppp) Trillion (1990 prices) |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
|
|
|
Final
Energy |
EJ |
|
|
|
Non-commercial |
|
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
Solids |
|
13 |
10 |
8 |
7 |
6 |
6 |
6 |
5 |
5 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
|
Liquids |
|
18 |
11 |
8 |
8 |
7 |
6 |
6 |
7 |
7 |
8 |
8 |
8 |
|
Gas |
|
19 |
14 |
12 |
11 |
10 |
8 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
4 |
3 |
|
Electricity |
|
6 |
8 |
11 |
15 |
16 |
18 |
19 |
22 |
26 |
29 |
31 |
33 |
|
Others |
|
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
Total |
|
56 |
44 |
38 |
41 |
39 |
38 |
37 |
39 |
42 |
45 |
46 |
47 |
|
|
|
Primary
Energy |
EJ |
|
|
|
Coal |
|
18 |
17 |
17 |
18 |
38 |
61 |
86 |
113 |
147 |
188 |
236 |
283 |
|
Oil |
|
20 |
13 |
10 |
9 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
Gas |
|
26 |
20 |
18 |
22 |
20 |
17 |
13 |
12 |
11 |
12 |
9 |
6 |
|
Nuclear |
|
3 |
4 |
5 |
7 |
7 |
7 |
7 |
7 |
7 |
8 |
8 |
8 |
|
Biomass |
|
0 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
5 |
7 |
9 |
10 |
12 |
13 |
|
|
|
Other Renewables |
3 |
3 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
9 |
12 |
14 |
16 |
18 |
|
Total |
|
70 |
57 |
55 |
62 |
76 |
94 |
117 |
149 |
187 |
231 |
280 |
328 |
|
|
|
Cumulative
Resources Use |
ZJ |
|
|
|
Coal |
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
2.1 |
3.1 |
4.5 |
6.1 |
8.3 |
10.6 |
|
Oil |
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
|
Gas |
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
|
|
|
Cumulative
CO2 Emissions |
GtC |
0.0 |
11.0 |
19.9 |
29.0 |
40.1 |
53.5 |
69.4 |
88.7 |
112.3 |
140.5 |
174.0 |
213.7 |
|
|
|
Carbon
Sequestraction |
GtC |
|
|
|
|
|
Land Use |
|
Million ha |
|
|
Cropland |
|
284 |
295 |
308 |
324 |
331 |
328 |
317 |
281 |
250 |
225 |
211 |
198 |
|
Grasslands |
|
395 |
410 |
448 |
510 |
569 |
611 |
636 |
588 |
551 |
524 |
529 |
534 |
|
Energy Biomass |
|
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
5 |
9 |
15 |
28 |
36 |
38 |
43 |
47 |
|
Forest |
|
1007 |
1016 |
996 |
945 |
884 |
846 |
831 |
915 |
979 |
1023 |
1005 |
987 |
|
Others |
|
691 |
656 |
625 |
597 |
589 |
583 |
578 |
564 |
561 |
568 |
590 |
612 |
|
Total |
|
2377 |
2377 |
2377 |
2377 |
2377 |
2377 |
2377 |
2377 |
2377 |
2377 |
2377 |
2377 |
|
|
|
Anthropogenic
Emissions (standardized) |
|
|
Fossil Fuel CO2 |
GtC |
1.30 |
0.91 |
0.83 |
0.90 |
1.13 |
1.39 |
1.69 |
2.06 |
2.53 |
3.11 |
3.75 |
4.45 |
|
Other CO2 |
GtC |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.03 |
0.08 |
0.10 |
0.08 |
0.02 |
0.08 |
0.05 |
-0.06 |
-0.11 |
-0.16 |
|
Total CO2 |
GtC |
1.30 |
0.91 |
0.86 |
0.98 |
1.22 |
1.47 |
1.71 |
2.14 |
2.59 |
3.06 |
3.64 |
4.29 |
|
CH4 total |
MtCH4 |
47 |
39 |
47 |
61 |
75 |
88 |
99 |
108 |
123 |
144 |
162 |
179 |
|
N2O total |
MtN2O-N |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.7 |
1.9 |
|
SOx total |
MtS |
17.0 |
11.0 |
10.3 |
10.3 |
12.6 |
14.3 |
15.3 |
12.8 |
10.3 |
7.7 |
5.9 |
4.1 |
|
HFC |
MtC eq. |
0 |
4 |
9 |
15 |
21 |
25 |
25 |
26 |
26 |
26 |
27 |
27 |
|
PFC |
MtC eq. |
7 |
4 |
8 |
10 |
14 |
19 |
25 |
28 |
30 |
30 |
28 |
27 |
|
SF6 |
MtC eq. |
7 |
6 |
5 |
7 |
9 |
12 |
15 |
16 |
15 |
14 |
14 |
14 |
|
CO |
MtCO |
|
|
NMVOC |
Mt |
|
|
NOx |
MtN |
|
|
|
|
ASIA
- B2HIGH MINICAM |
|
1990 |
2000 |
2010 |
2020 |
2030 |
2040 |
2050 |
2060 |
2070 |
2080 |
2090 |
2100 |
|
|
|
Population |
Million |
2790 |
3261 |
3707 |
4127 |
4463 |
4739 |
4953 |
5037 |
5070 |
5052 |
4932 |
4814 |
|
|
|
GNP/GDP
(mex) |
Trillion US$ |
1.4 |
3.1 |
6.0 |
10.3 |
17.4 |
25.6 |
35.2 |
45.9 |
57.4 |
69.7 |
82.9 |
97.2 |
GNP/GDP
(ppp) Trillion (1990 prices) |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
|
|
|
Final
Energy |
EJ |
|
|
|
Non-commercial |
|
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
Solids |
|
20 |
32 |
46 |
62 |
74 |
83 |
91 |
81 |
75 |
73 |
70 |
68 |
|
Liquids |
|
14 |
20 |
27 |
36 |
43 |
53 |
67 |
79 |
91 |
104 |
112 |
119 |
|
Gas |
|
2 |
5 |
9 |
13 |
13 |
13 |
12 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
12 |
11 |
|
Electricity |
|
4 |
11 |
24 |
43 |
64 |
88 |
115 |
147 |
182 |
220 |
253 |
287 |
|
Others |
|
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
Total |
|
40 |
68 |
106 |
153 |
193 |
237 |
284 |
319 |
361 |
410 |
447 |
484 |
|
|
|
Primary
Energy |
EJ |
|
|
|
Coal |
|
26 |
47 |
72 |
104 |
142 |
182 |
224 |
251 |
254 |
234 |
226 |
218 |
|
Oil |
|
16 |
22 |
29 |
39 |
33 |
28 |
25 |
21 |
21 |
25 |
19 |
12 |
|
Gas |
|
3 |
9 |
20 |
37 |
48 |
56 |
61 |
63 |
68 |
75 |
62 |
49 |
|
Nuclear |
|
1 |
4 |
9 |
15 |
25 |
36 |
47 |
50 |
56 |
65 |
73 |
81 |
|
Biomass |
|
0 |
2 |
5 |
9 |
14 |
20 |
27 |
38 |
48 |
55 |
63 |
71 |
|
|
|
Other Renewables |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
10 |
17 |
27 |
45 |
65 |
86 |
109 |
132 |
|
Total |
|
49 |
87 |
141 |
210 |
272 |
339 |
411 |
470 |
513 |
540 |
551 |
562 |
|
|
|
Cumulative
Resources Use |
ZJ |
|
|
|
Coal |
|
0.0 |
0.5 |
1.1 |
1.9 |
3.2 |
4.9 |
6.8 |
9.3 |
11.8 |
14.2 |
16.5 |
18.8 |
|
Oil |
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
1.9 |
2.2 |
2.4 |
2.6 |
2.8 |
|
Gas |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
2.0 |
2.7 |
3.3 |
4.0 |
4.7 |
5.3 |
|
|
|
Cumulative
CO2 Emissions |
GtC |
0.0 |
17.8 |
42.6 |
78.0 |
125.1 |
182.5 |
250.2 |
326.2 |
406.6 |
488.2 |
568.4 |
646.7 |
|
|
|
Carbon
Sequestraction |
GtC |
|
|
|
|
|
Land Use |
|
Million ha |
|
|
Cropland |
|
389 |
401 |
413 |
425 |
426 |
418 |
403 |
365 |
332 |
304 |
278 |
252 |
|
Grasslands |
|
508 |
523 |
550 |
588 |
621 |
647 |
668 |
662 |
654 |
642 |
628 |
615 |
|
Energy Biomass |
|
0 |
0 |
2 |
5 |
15 |
28 |
43 |
67 |
84 |
95 |
117 |
139 |
|
Forest |
|
1168 |
1143 |
1104 |
1052 |
1007 |
973 |
951 |
972 |
997 |
1026 |
1043 |
1060 |
|
Others |
|
664 |
632 |
603 |
577 |
569 |
563 |
559 |
545 |
541 |
547 |
565 |
584 |
|
Total |
|
2729 |
2699 |
2671 |
2646 |
2637 |
2630 |
2624 |
2611 |
2608 |
2614 |
2632 |
2650 |
|
|
|
Anthropogenic
Emissions (standardized) |
|
|
Fossil Fuel CO2 |
GtC |
1.15 |
1.78 |
2.72 |
3.92 |
4.97 |
6.05 |
7.14 |
7.80 |
8.14 |
8.18 |
8.04 |
7.90 |
|
Other CO2 |
GtC |
0.37 |
0.26 |
0.19 |
0.26 |
0.26 |
0.22 |
0.14 |
0.11 |
0.04 |
-0.05 |
-0.11 |
-0.17 |
|
Total CO2 |
GtC |
1.53 |
2.03 |
2.92 |
4.18 |
5.23 |
6.26 |
7.28 |
7.90 |
8.19 |
8.12 |
7.93 |
7.73 |
|
CH4 total |
MtCH4 |
113 |
125 |
134 |
145 |
155 |
166 |
178 |
183 |
179 |
166 |
160 |
154 |
|
N2O total |
MtN2O-N |
2.3 |
2.6 |
2.9 |
3.2 |
3.6 |
4.0 |
4.4 |
4.5 |
4.7 |
4.9 |
5.2 |
5.4 |
|
SOx total |
MtS |
17.7 |
25.3 |
38.4 |
50.6 |
57.0 |
59.1 |
56.9 |
43.7 |
32.8 |
24.3 |
19.4 |
14.4 |
|
HFC |
MtC eq. |
0 |
5 |
21 |
40 |
66 |
95 |
130 |
164 |
199 |
233 |
267 |
302 |
|
PFC |
MtC eq. |
3 |
5 |
14 |
22 |
30 |
38 |
46 |
51 |
54 |
54 |
53 |
51 |
|
SF6 |
MtC eq. |
4 |
7 |
12 |
18 |
25 |
32 |
36 |
36 |
33 |
27 |
29 |
30 |
|
CO |
MtCO |
|
|
NMVOC |
Mt |
|
|
NOx |
MtN |
|
|
|
|
ALM
- B2HIGH MINICAM |
|
1990 |
2000 |
2010 |
2020 |
2030 |
2040 |
2050 |
2060 |
2070 |
2080 |
2090 |
2100 |
|
|
|
Population |
Million |
1236 |
1554 |
1917 |
2326 |
2725 |
3104 |
3463 |
3737 |
3953 |
4113 |
4153 |
4192 |
|
|
|
GNP/GDP
(mex) |
Trillion US$ |
1.9 |
2.8 |
4.4 |
6.8 |
11.8 |
18.4 |
26.6 |
38.2 |
50.6 |
63.9 |
78.0 |
93.6 |
GNP/GDP
(ppp) Trillion (1990 prices) |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
|
|
|
Final
Energy |
EJ |
|
|
|
Non-commercial |
|
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
Solids |
|
2 |
3 |
5 |
7 |
11 |
15 |
20 |
20 |
20 |
21 |
21 |
21 |
|
Liquids |
|
17 |
22 |
27 |
35 |
41 |
54 |
73 |
94 |
114 |
135 |
152 |
170 |
|
Gas |
|
5 |
7 |
10 |
13 |
17 |
19 |
19 |
19 |
20 |
22 |
20 |
17 |
|
Electricity |
|
3 |
6 |
10 |
17 |
32 |
51 |
76 |
109 |
144 |
181 |
218 |
255 |
|
Others |
|
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
Total |
|
27 |
37 |
52 |
72 |
101 |
139 |
188 |
242 |
299 |
359 |
411 |
463 |
|
|
|
Primary
Energy |
EJ |
|
|
|
Coal |
|
4 |
6 |
10 |
14 |
30 |
53 |
83 |
82 |
86 |
96 |
103 |
110 |
|
Oil |
|
20 |
23 |
28 |
36 |
37 |
40 |
42 |
46 |
52 |
59 |
51 |
43 |
|
Gas |
|
7 |
10 |
15 |
24 |
36 |
45 |
50 |
58 |
66 |
75 |
66 |
58 |
|
Nuclear |
|
0 |
2 |
4 |
7 |
14 |
22 |
31 |
37 |
44 |
54 |
64 |
73 |
|
Biomass |
|
0 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
5 |
9 |
15 |
27 |
37 |
44 |
55 |
65 |
|
|
|
Other Renewables |
5 |
6 |
8 |
11 |
15 |
21 |
28 |
44 |
61 |
79 |
100 |
122 |
|
Total |
|
35 |
47 |
67 |
95 |
137 |
189 |
249 |
293 |
345 |
407 |
439 |
471 |
|
|
|
Cumulative
Resources Use |
ZJ |
|
|
|
Coal |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.6 |
2.4 |
3.3 |
4.2 |
5.2 |
6.2 |
|
Oil |
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
2.0 |
2.4 |
2.9 |
3.5 |
4.0 |
4.5 |
|
Gas |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
2.2 |
2.8 |
3.5 |
4.2 |
4.9 |
|
|
|
Cumulative
CO2 Emissions |
GtC |
0.0 |
16.4 |
35.3 |
57.5 |
85.2 |
119.2 |
160.8 |
209.3 |
263.0 |
320.8 |
381.1 |
442.6 |
|
|
|
Carbon
Sequestraction |
GtC |
|
|
|
|
|
Land Use |
|
Million ha |
|
|
Cropland |
|
391 |
365 |
353 |
355 |
353 |
344 |
330 |
301 |
274 |
247 |
226 |
205 |
|
Grasslands |
|
1510 |
1594 |
1713 |
1867 |
2013 |
2118 |
2183 |
2091 |
2004 |
1921 |
1875 |
1829 |
|
Energy Biomass |
|
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
12 |
34 |
85 |
123 |
148 |
186 |
223 |
|
Forest |
|
3641 |
3589 |
3487 |
3333 |
3186 |
3074 |
2996 |
3067 |
3147 |
3234 |
3263 |
3292 |
|
Others |
|
1957 |
1882 |
1808 |
1735 |
1710 |
1690 |
1675 |
1636 |
1623 |
1635 |
1681 |
1727 |
|
Total |
|
7499 |
7430 |
7361 |
7290 |
7263 |
7239 |
7217 |
7182 |
7171 |
7185 |
7230 |
7275 |
|
|
|
Anthropogenic
Emissions (standardized) |
|
|
Fossil Fuel CO2 |
GtC |
0.72 |
1.01 |
1.27 |
1.64 |
2.28 |
3.13 |
4.18 |
4.76 |
5.40 |
6.11 |
6.45 |
6.81 |
|
Other CO2 |
GtC |
0.73 |
0.82 |
0.69 |
0.85 |
0.77 |
0.61 |
0.39 |
0.38 |
0.20 |
-0.15 |
-0.37 |
-0.59 |
|
Total CO2 |
GtC |
1.45 |
1.83 |
1.96 |
2.49 |
3.05 |
3.74 |
4.58 |
5.14 |
5.60 |
5.96 |
6.08 |
6.22 |
|
CH4 total |
MtCH4 |
77 |
85 |
90 |
99 |
114 |
124 |
129 |
125 |
124 |
127 |
127 |
128 |
|
N2O total |
MtN2O-N |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
2.1 |
2.6 |
3.1 |
3.7 |
4.0 |
4.3 |
4.6 |
5.1 |
5.6 |
|
SOx total |
MtS |
10.5 |
12.8 |
15.1 |
16.2 |
19.5 |
23.3 |
27.5 |
23.4 |
19.7 |
16.4 |
13.1 |
9.7 |
|
HFC |
MtC eq. |
0 |
2 |
12 |
20 |
32 |
54 |
84 |
120 |
157 |
190 |
211 |
223 |
|
PFC |
MtC eq. |
4 |
4 |
7 |
10 |
14 |
20 |
27 |
33 |
37 |
39 |
39 |
37 |
|
SF6 |
MtC eq. |
3 |
5 |
5 |
7 |
9 |
20 |
16 |
17 |
15 |
11 |
13 |
14 |
|
CO |
MtCO |
|
|
NMVOC |
Mt |
|
|
NOx |
MtN |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|