11.2.6 Tectonic Land Movements
We define tectonic land movement as that part of the vertical displacement
of the crust that is of non-glacio-hydro-isostatic origin. It includes rapid
displacements associated with earthquake events and also slow movements within
(e.g., mantle convection) and on (e.g., sediment transport) the Earth. Large
parts of the earth are subject to active tectonics which continue to shape the
planet�s surface. Where the tectonics occur in coastal areas, one of its
consequences is the changing relationship between the land and sea surfaces
as shorelines retreat or advance in response to the vertical land movements.
Examples include the Huon Peninsula of Papua New Guinea (Chappell et al., 1996b),
parts of the Mediterranean (e.g. Pirazzoli et al., 1994; Antonioli and Oliverio,
1996), Japan (Ota et al., 1992) and New Zealand (Ota et al., 1995). The Huon
Peninsula provides a particularly good example (Figure
11.6) with 125,000 year old coral terraces at up to 400 m above present
sea level. The intermediate terraces illustrated in Figure
11.6 formed at times when the tectonic uplift rates and sea level rise were
about equal. Detailed analyses of these reef sequences have indicated that long-term
average uplift rates vary between about 2 and 4 mm/yr, but that large episodic
(and unpredictable) displacements of 1 m or more occur at repeat times of about
1,000 years (Chappell et al., 1996b). Comparable average rates and episodic
displacements have been inferred from Greek shoreline evidence (Stiros et al.,
1994). With major tectonic activity occurring at the plate boundaries, which
in many instances are also continental or island margins, many of the world�s
tide gauge records are likely to contain both tectonic and eustatic signals.
One value of the geological data is that it permits evaluations to be made of
tectonic stability of the tide gauge locality.
Table 11.9: Recent estimates
of sea level rise from tide gauges. The standard error for these estimates
is also given along with the method used to correct for vertical land movement
(VLM). |
 |
|
Region |
VLMa |
Rate ± s.e.b
(mm/yr) |
 |
Gornitz and Lebedeff (1987) |
Global |
Geological |
1.2 ± 0.3 |
Peltier and Tushingham (1989, 1991) |
Global |
ICE-3G/M1 |
2.4 ± 0.9c |
Trupin and Wahr (1990) |
Global |
ICE-3G/M1 |
1.7 ± 0.13 |
Nakiboglu and Lambeck (1991) |
Global |
Spatial decomposition |
1.2 ± 0.4 |
Douglas (1991) |
Global |
ICE-3G/M1 |
1.8 ± 0.1 |
Shennan and Woodworth (1992) |
NW Europe |
Geological |
1.0 ± 0.15 |
Gornitz (1995)d |
N America E Coast |
Geological |
1.5 ± 0.7c |
Mitrovica and Davis (1995),
Davis and Mitrovica (1996) |
Global far field (far from former ice sheets) |
PGR Model |
1.4 ± 0.4c |
Davis and Mitrovica (1996) |
N America E Coast |
PGR Model |
1.5 ± 0.3c |
Peltier (1996) |
N America E Coast |
ICE-4G/M2 |
1.9 ± 0.6c |
Peltier and Jiang (1997) |
N America E Coast |
Geological |
2.0 ± 0.6c |
Peltier and Jiang (1997) |
Global |
ICE-4G/M2 |
1.8 ± 0.6c |
Douglas (1997)d |
Global |
ICE-3G/M1 |
1.8 ± 0.1 |
Lambeck et al. (1998) |
Fennoscandia |
PGR Model |
1.1 ± 0.2 |
Woodworth et al. (1999) |
British Isles |
Geological |
1.0 |
 |
Over very long time-scales (greater than 106 years), mantle dynamic processes
lead to changes in the shape and volume of the ocean basins, while deposition
of sediment reduces basin volume. These affect sea level but at very low rates
(less than 0.01 mm/yr and 0.05 mm/yr, respectively; e.g., Open University, 1989;
Harrison, 1990).
Coastal subsidence in river delta regions can be an important contributing
factor to sea level change, with a typical magnitude of 10 mm/yr, although the
phenomenon will usually be of a local character. Regions of documented subsidence
include the Mediterranean deltas (Stanley, 1997), the Mississippi delta (Day
et al., 1993) and the Asian deltas. In the South China Sea, for example, the
LGM shoreline is reported to occur at a depth of about 165 m below present level
(Wang et al., 1990), suggesting that some 40 m of subsidence may have occurred
in 20,000 years at an average rate of about 2 mm/yr. Changes in relative sea
level also arise through accretion and erosion along the coast; again, such
effects may be locally significant.
11.2.7 Atmospheric Pressure
Through the inverse barometer effect, a local increase in surface air pressure
over the ocean produces a depression in the sea surface of 1 cm per hPa (1 hPa
= 1 mbar). Since water is practically incompressible, this cannot lead to a
global-average sea level rise, but a long-term trend in surface air pressure
patterns could influence observed local sea level trends. This has been investigated
using two data sets: (i) monthly mean values of surface air pressure on a 10°x5°
grid for the period 1873 to 1995 for the Northern Hemisphere north of 15°N
obtained from the University of East Anglia Climatic Research Unit, and (ii)
monthly mean values on a global 5°x5° grid for the period 1871 to
1994 obtained from the UK Met Office (see Basnett and Parker, 1997, for a discussion
of the various data sets). The two data sets present similar spatial pattens
of trends for their geographical and temporal overlaps. Both yield small trends
of the order 0.02 hPa/yr; values of �0.03 hPa/yr occur in limited regions
of the high Arctic and equatorial Pacific. As found by Woodworth (1987), trends
are only of the order of 0.01 hPa/yr in northern Europe, where most of the longest
historical tide gauges are located. We conclude that long-term sea level trends
could have been modified to the extent of ± 0.2 mm/yr, considerably less
than the average eustatic rate of rise. Over a shorter period larger trends
can be found. For example, Schönwiese et al. (1994) and Schönwiese
and Rapp (1997) report changes in surface pressure for the period 1960 to 1990
that could have modified sea level trends in the Mediterranean and around Scandinavia
by �0.05 and +0.04 mm/yr respectively.
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