Box 10.1, Figure 2: Analysis
of inter-model consistency in regional precipitation change. Regions are classified
as showing either agreement on increase with an average change of greater than
20% (‘Large increase’), agreement on increase with an average change
between 5 and 20% (‘Small increase’), agreement on a change between
-5 and +5% or agreement with an average change between -5 and 5% (‘No change’),
agreement on decrease with an average change between -5 and -20% (‘Small
decrease’), agreement on decrease with an average change of less than -20%
(‘Large decrease’), or disagreement (‘Inconsistent sign’).
A consistent result from at least seven of the nine models is deemed necessary
for agreement.
