Climate Change 2001:
Working Group I: The Scientific Basis
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Figure 2.29: El Niño-La Niña variations from 1876 to 2000 measured by sea surface temperature in the region 5°N to 5°S, 150 to 90°W. Reconstructions using pattern analysis methods from (a) red: UK Met Office (UKMO) Hadley Centre sea ice and sea surface temperature data set version 1 (Rayner et al., 2000); (b) black: from the Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory (LDEO) (Kaplan et al., 1998); (c) blue: the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) analysis (Smith et al., 1998). 1876 is close to the earliest date for which reasonably reliable reconstructions can be made.

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