11.1.4.2. Adaptability
Climate variability and change, both natural and anthropogenic, cause a wide
range of direct and indirect impacts on natural and human systems. To understand
which adaptation opportunities will be most cost-effective and have the greatest
value, emphasis must be given to characteristics of system vulnerability, such
as resilience, critical thresholds, and coping ranges, which are highly dependent
on regions and nations. In this respect, lessons learned from past experiences
regarding climate variability and change provide essential understanding of
processes, actions, and successes.
The impacts of climate change and other drivers of environmental degradation
(e.g., disparities in income level, technological gaps) are likely to be felt
more severely in developing countries than in developed countries of Asia, irrespective
of the magnitude of climate change, because of the poor resource and infrastructure
bases. The developing countries need to scope the development of adaptation
strategies incrementally to support development of existing policies that exploit
"no regret" measures and "win-win" options (Smit et al.,
2000). Detailed and reliable regional scenarios of climate change need to be
developed and used in rigorous vulnerability analysis (e.g., low-probability/high-
consequence events versus high-probability/high-consequence events, risk perceptions).
In developing countries, adaptation responses are closely linked to developmental
activities. Consequently, there are likely to be large spillover effects between
adaptation policies and developmental activities. Care in this regard must be
taken in the evaluation of adaptation costs and benefits. In developing countries
of Asia, options such as population growth control, poverty alleviation, and
capacity building in food production, health care delivery, and water resource
management hold great potential in creating more resilient social systems that
are capable of withstanding the negative impacts of climate change.
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