18.6. Enhancing Adaptive Capacity
The adaptive capacity of a system or nation is likely to be greater when the
following requirements are met:
- The nation has a stable and prosperous economy. Regardless of biophysical
vulnerability to the impacts of climate change, developed and wealthy nations
are better prepared to bear the costs of adaptation than developing countries
(Goklany, 1995; Burton, 1996).
- There is a high degree of access to technology at various levels (i.e.,
from local to national) and in all sectors (Burton, 1996). Moreover, openness
to development and utilization of new technologies for sustainable extraction,
use, and development of natural resources is key to strengthening adaptive
capacity (Goklany, 1995).
- The roles and responsibilities for implementation of adaptation strategies
are well delineated by central governments and are clearly understood at national,
regional, and local levels (Burton, 1996).
- Systems are in place for the dissemination of climate change and adaptation
information, nationally and regionally, and there are forums for the discussion
and innovation of adaptation strategies at various levels (Gupta and Hisschemöller,
1997).
- Social institutions and arrangements governing the allocation of power
and access to resources within a nation, region, or community assure that
access to resources is equitably distributed because the presence of power
differentials can contribute to reduced adaptive capacity (Mustafa, 1998;
Handmer et al., 1999; Kelly and Adger, 1999).
- Existing systems with high adaptive capacity are not compromised. For example,
in the case of traditional or indigenous societies, pursuit of western/European-style
development trajectories may reduce adaptive capacity by introducing greater
technology dependence and higher density settlement and by devaluing traditional
ecological knowledge and cultural values.
18.6.1. Adaptive Capacity and Sustainable Development
Ability to adapt clearly depends on the state of development (Berke, 1995;
Munasinghe, 1998). As Ribot et al. (1996) illustrate, underdevelopment
fundamentally constrains adaptive capacity, especially because of a lack of
resources to hedge against extreme but expected events. The events are not surprises:
"It is not that the risk is unknown, not that the methods for coping do
not exist
rather inability to cope is due to lack ofor systematic
alienation fromresources needed to guard against these events" (Ribot
et al., 1996).
The process of enhancing adaptive capacity is not simple; it involves "spurts
of growth inter-dispersed with periods of consolidation, refocusing and redirection"
(Holmes, 1996). Enhancement of adaptive capacity involves similar requirements
as promotion of sustainable development, including:
- Improved access to resources (Ribot et al., 1996; Kelly and Adger,
1999; Kates, 2000)
- Reduction of poverty (Berke, 1995; Eele, 1996; Karim, 1996; Kates, 2000)
- Lowering of inequities in resources and wealth among groups (Berke, 1995;
Torvanger, 1998)
- Improved education and information (Zhao, 1996)
- Improved infrastructure (Magalhães and Glantz, 1992; Ribot et
al., 1996)
- Diminished intergenerational inequities (Berke, 1995; Munasinghe, 2000)
- Respect for accumulated local experience (Primo, 1996)
- Moderate long-standing structural inequities (Magadza, 2000)
- Assurance that responses are comprehensive and integrative, not just technical
(Ribot et al., 1996; Cohen et al., 1998; Rayner and Malone,
1998; Munasinghe and Swart, 2000)
- Active participation by concerned parties, especially to ensure that actions
match local needs and resources (Berke, 1995; Ribot et al., 1996; Rayner
and Malone, 1998; Ramakrishnan, 1999)
- Improved institutional capacity and efficiency (Handmer et al., 1999;
Magadza, 2000).
Because actions taken without reference to climate have the potential to affect
vulnerability to it, enhancement of adaptive capacity to climate change can
be regarded as one component of broader sustainable development initiatives
(Ahmad and Ahmed, 2000; Munasinghe, 2000; Robinson and Herbert, 2000). Hazards
associated with climate change have the potential to undermine progress with
sustainable development (Berke, 1995; Wang'ati, 1996). Therefore, it is
important for sustainable development initiatives to explicitly consider hazards
and risks associated with climate change (Apuuli et al., 2000).
Clearly, adaptive capacity to deal with climate risks is closely related to
sustainable development and equity. Enhancement of adaptive capacity is fundamental
to sustainable development. For example, in the drought-stricken region of northeastern
Brazil, an assessment of past successes and failures has indicated that a comprehensive
sustainable development strategy is needed to increase regional and societal
capacity to face present and future climate variability (Magalhães, 1996).
By assessing differences in vulnerability among regions and groups and by working
to improve the adaptive capacity of those regions and groups, planned adaptation
can contribute to equity considerations of sustainable development. In the context
of African agriculture, Downing et al. (1997) conclude that enhancement
of present resource management activities is necessary to prepare for potential
impacts of climate change. In Malawi, as in many other places, the UNFCCC's
objectives to "ensure food production is not threatened, and to enable
economic development to proceed in a sustainable manner" also are central
to the nation's development policies (Theu et al., 1996). Thus,
progress to reducing vulnerability to climate risks is consistent with Malawi's
planning and development initiatives.
Notwithstanding the considerable literature on the impacts of climate change
as described throughout this volume, very little attention has been devoted
to the interaction of adaptation to climate change with ongoing development
projects and programs. Because vulnerability to climate depends on the adaptive
capacity of a wide range of attributes, it may be unrealistic to focus on development
programs that deal with adaptation to climate alone (Cohen, et al., 1998;
Rayner and Malone, 1998). Yet there is surprisingly little recognition of climate
hazards and risks associated with climate change in established development
projects and programs (Berke, 1995; Burton and Van Aalst, 1999). O'Brian
and Liverman (1996) show how climate change can have serious implications for
development projects planned or underway in Mexico, including hydroelectric
and irrigation initiatives. Torvanger (1998) shows how climate flexibility considerations
that can be built into development investments at modest incremental costs are
applicable regardless of the uncertainties of climate change and with immediate
value because of existing risks.
18.6.2. Capacity Enhancement by Scale
The vulnerabilities and anticipated impacts of climate change will be observed
at different scales and levels of societyand enhancement of adaptive capacity
can be initiated at different social scales (Ribot et al., 1996; Handmer
et al., 1999). In Bangladesh, Ahmed et al. (1999) distinguish between four scales:
mega, macro, meso, and micro. Using the example of sea-level rise as a climate
change impact, the authors describe adaptation options at each scale. The process
of sea-level rise occurs at the mega-scale and is global in its effect. At the
macro-scale, an associated increase in surface water and groundwater has the
potential to similarly effect neighboring rivers and flood plains in China,
Nepal, India, Bhutan, and Pakistan. Adaptive capacity at this scale is a function
of international economic and political structures, with implications for the
nations' capital and technological resources and institutions. At the meso-scale,
different communities within Bangladesh are differentially vulnerable, depending
on adaptive capacity and physiographic characteristics. At this scale, location-specific
adaptation options would need to be considered. Finally, at a micro-scale, family
units and individuals would experience vulnerabilities irrespective of the origin
of the processes and would employ adaptations within their particular economic
and sociocultural constraints.
Because the vulnerabilities of climate change occur at various scales, successful
adaptation will depend on actions taken at a number of levels. Examples of initiatives
to enhance adaptive capacity at various scales follow:
- At a global scale
- Greater cooperation between industrialized and developing countries
to align global and local priorities by improving policy/science interactions
and working toward greater public awareness of climate change and adaptation
issues (Wang'ati, 1996; Gupta and Hisschemöller, 1997)
- Inclusion of global institutions for global-level adaptation, which
would include research and facilitation of policy, funding, and monitoring
at all levels (Ahmed et al., 1999)
- Removal of barriers to international trade; it is argued that improving
market conditions, reducing the exploitation of marginal land, accelerating
the transfer of technology, and contributing to overall economic growth
will promote both sustainability and adaptive capacity (Goklany, 1995)
- Effective global economic participation. Benefits go beyond direct financial
gain and include technology transfers, technical and managerial skills
transfers, and other skills transfers associated with the "learning
and doing" process (Ebohon et al., 1997)
- At a national level
- Development of climate change policy that is specifically geared toward
more vulnerable sectors in the country (Mustafa, 1998), with an emphasis
on poverty reduction (Kelly and Adger, 1999)
- Establishment of broadly based monitoring and communication systems
(e.g., integrated drought monitoring and information system, as suggested
in Wilhite, 1997)
- Establishment of public policy that encourages and supports adaptation
at local or community levels and in the private sector (Burton, 1996)
- Pursuit of sustainable economic growthwhich, in turn, allows for
greater dedication of resources to development of adaptive technologies
and innovations (Goklany, 1995)
- Via local means
- Establishment of social institutions and arrangements that discourage
concentration of power in a few hands and prevent marginalization of sections
of the local population (Mustafa, 1998); arrangements need to consider
representativeness of decisionmaking bodies and maintenance of flexibility
in the functioning of local institutions (Ramakrishnan, 1998)
- Encouragement of diversification of income sources (and therefore risk-spreading),
particularly for poorer sectors of society (Wang'ati, 1996; Adger
and Kelly, 1999)
- Encouragement of formal or informal arrangements for collective security
(Kelly and Adger, 1999)
- Identification and prioritization of local adaptation measures and provision
of feedback to higher levels of government. These efforts would have to
be reinforced by the adequate provision of knowledge, technology, policy,
and financial support (Ahmed et al., 1999).
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