10.3.4 Decision-making Frameworks for Sustainable Development and Climate
Change
Decision making related to climate change is a crucial part of making decisions
about sustainable development simply because climate change is one the most
important symptoms of unsustainability. Indeed, global warming poses
a significant potential threat to future development activities and the economic
well being of a large number of human beings. Climate change could also undermine
social welfare and equity in an unprecedented manner. In particular, both intra-
and intergenerational equities are likely to be worsened. Lastly, increasing
anthropogenic emissions and accumulations of GHGs might significantly perturb
a critical global subsystemthe atmosphere. Policymakers routinely make
macro-level decisions that influence both climate change mitigation and adaptation,
but are of a broader scope than strategies specifically related to climate change.
These decisions relate to economic development, environmental sustainability,
and social equity issueswhich invariably have a much higher priority in
national agendas than does climate change (Munasinghe, 2000). In this context,
economicenvironmentalsocial interactions could be identified and
analyzed and effective sustainable development policies formulated by linking
and articulating them explicitly with climate change policies.
10.3.4.1 Forms of Decision-making
Despite the close links, climate change and sustainable development have been
pursued as largely separate discourses. The sustainable development research
community has not generally considered how the impacts of a changing climate
may affect efforts to develop more sustainable societies. Global warming is
acknowledged as a problem, but is typically leaped over in an effort to push
governments towards specific policy responses. Conversely, the concept of sustainable
development and the methodological and substantive arguments associated with
it are notably absent in the climate change literature (Cohen et al.,
1998). Despite the strong synergies between policies oriented to climate change
and national development objectives, different ways of thinking in approaching
the two problems lead to different social practices and decision-making procedures,
which makes it difficult to establish strong working linkages between them.
The main point here is that climate change and sustainable development are
rooted in very different disciplines, which results in distinct conceptual frameworks
and policy assessments. The dominant natural science approach to climate change
has constructed it as an environmental problem, which can be identified and
managed objectively by means of scientific rationality. This formulation has
resulted in a number of value neutral decision-making approaches
and methods that represent only the technical dimension of a much more complex
set of decision-making problems (Jaeger et al., 1998). These are not especially
helpful in deciding how to respond politically, because they ignore the human
dimensions of the problem and the difficult and locally differentiated politics
of responding to it. In contrast, the human-centred sustainable development
approach to environmental problems is more politically and geographically sensitive,
but it is analytically vague. This makes it difficult to define or implement
in practice (Cohen et al., 1998).
This distinction does not simply apply to the formalities, but has rather practical
consequences on the systems of rules, decision-making procedures, social practices,
and role of stakeholdersthe institutional arrangements that determine
the processes of problem solving and decision making. Different disciplinary
perspectives of climate change and sustainable development can be associated
with two major streams of institutional arrangements models, characterized as
collective-action and social-practice models (Clark, 1998). A collective-action
model, which reflects the mainstream thinking of climate policy literature,
embodies the rational actor paradigm. Social actors are coherent identities
that possess well-defined preference structures and seek to maximize payoffs
through a process of weighting the benefits and costs associated with alternative
choices in situations that involve strategic interaction. According to this
view, climate change can be decomposed into a conceptually simple (if
still practically challenging) problem, for which a rational solution can be
constructed and implemented within the existing framework of political power
and technical expertise (Jaeger et al., 1998). The role of government
institutions, as the relevant actors in the decision-making process, is to co-ordinate
regulation through policy instruments to prevent individualistic behaviour from
producing outcomes that are worse for all participants than the feasible alternatives
under optimal, rational choices (Clark, 1998; Young, 1998).
By contrast, sustainable development is closer to the idea of institutions
as arrangements that engender patterned practices, which play a role in shaping
the identity of participants and feature the articulation of normative discourses,
the emergence of informal communities, and the encouragement of social learning.
This category of social-practice institutional arrangements (Young, 1998) directs
attention to processes through which actors become enmeshed in complex social
practices. These subsequently influence their behaviour through the de facto
engagement in belief systems and normative preferences, rather than through
conscious decisions about compliance with regulatory rules. From this point
of view, control, legitimacy, credibility, and appropriate decision-making processes
become crucial issues in the construction of sustainable development practices.
With such dissimilar discourses it is not surprising that climate change and
sustainable development have been pursued as two separate agendas for the purposes
of policy formulation and action. Moreover, while these issues have achieved
a high level of public interest and visibility, climate change is the issue
that so far has formally been accepted for serious consideration in government
agendas. Sustainable development has not yet been able to translate its ideals
into concrete objectives for problem solving and decision making. In this context,
scientists are confronted with the urgent task of reforming the relationship
between science research and policymaking (Rayner and Malone, 1998b).
This task implies a twofold effort. First, the sustainable development discourse
needs greater analytical and intellectual rigor (methods, indicators, etc.)
to make the concept advance from theory to practice. Second, the climate change
discourse needs to be aware of both the restrictive set of assumptions that
underlie the tools and methods applied in the analysis, and the social and political
implications of the scientific constructions of climate change (Cohen et al.,
1998).
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