5.3.4 Trade and Environment
The barriers discussed in this section pertain to the whole economy of a country,
and constitute a type of market failure. They inhibit the implementation of
mitigation options indirectly by maintaining conditions in which investments
in energy efficiency and fuel switching are ignored, undervalued, or considered
too risky by economic actors.
High tariffs on imported goods or policies that constrain entry of imported
products into the market can prevent new and GHG-efficient technology from entering
the country. Since countries often rely on imports for high-efficiency equipment,
duties can raise the price of imported equipment considerably. When both types
of equipment are imported, the duty raises the price differential between the
two.
An example of the limitations created by government regulation was a high import
duty imposed on CFLs in Pakistan. When this duty was reduced from 125% to 25%
in 1990, the price of CFLs dropped by almost half, and sales started to rise,
leading to improved energy efficiency (US AID, 1996).
Government regulations that prohibit foreign firms from bidding on the construction
of new industrial factories or power plants limit a countrys access to
new foreign technology. Conditions that constrain the entry of imported products,
while beneficial in establishing a new industry or in achieving rapid expansion
of an existing one, can also lead to the use of obsolete technology. The history
of government intervention to address a severe paper shortage in India during
the early 1970s illustrates this barrier. To address the shortage, the Indian
government promoted the establishment of small paper mills that could be quickly
set up (Datt and Sundharam, 1998). This led to the import of inexpensive energy-intensive
and highly-polluting second-hand paper mills that were set up in many regions
of the country. The inefficient mills grew to account for 50% of the countrys
paper production. Then, in 1988, the government removed the protection it had
accorded the paper industry, which led to the shutdown of many of these small,
inefficient plants. The elimination of government protection will in the long
run increase GHG efficiency and economic productivity.
The transfer of modern technology takes place mainly through licensing of designs
for local production, joint ventures, and export and/or import. Practices of
transnational corporations, and policies of countries can inhibit these modes
of technology transfer. Also, large fluctuations in exchange rates and inflation
can inhibit capital flows. The fuel economy of motor vehicles across developing
countries varies with the type of technology that is imported. Countries either
import new (high fuel economy) or used (mostly lower fuel economy) motor vehicles,
manufacture vehicles with outmoded low fuel-economy technology (Ambassadors
in India or the VW Bug in Mexico and Brazil, the VW Jetta in China), and/or
manufacture modern vehicles with some domestic components (Nissan in the Philippines,
Maruti/Suzuki in India) (Sathaye and Walsh, 1992). Lack of suitable local firms
to supply components and services, limited access to capital, and restrictions
on repatriation of foreign exchange are some of the conditions that slow the
introduction of modern efficient vehicles (Davidson, 2000, Section 8, Transportation).
There is not much empirical evidence for a relationship between trade and environmental
regulation (Cropper and Oates, 1992; Rauscher, 1999) though there is a little
more in the direction of the impact of trade on the environment (van Beers et al., 1997). This lack of empirical relationship is caused by two reasons. First,
it is most cost effective to use the same technology everywhere and, therefore,
to operate everywhere according to the most stringent environmental regulations
(Levinson, 1994). Second, the industry cost of environmental regulation is too
small relative to other costs, such as labour, to weigh heavily in location
decisions (Dean, 1992; Jaffe et al. 1995; Markusen, 1999; Steininger, 1999).
In particular, there is little empirical evidence that developing countries
tend to become pollution havens. This is because their production is primarily
for the domestic market, their comparative advantage lies in less-polluting
labor-intensive sectors, and weak environmental standards often go hand in hand
with other factors that deter investment such as social capital weaknesses (Frederikson,
1999; Markusen, 1999). There is no empirical evidence of systematic FDI in polluting
industries (Leonard, 1988). The environmental effects of trade liberalization
seem to be highly country- and policy-specific (Frederikson, 1999).
There is also little evidence, both on theoretical and empirical grounds, of
a race to the bottom when other countries use environmental standards
to retaliate against trade measures. A globally optimal solution remains a combination
of free-trade and co-operative environmental policies. This does not mean that,
as environmental resources become scarcer, free trade may not generate negative
environmental impacts under some circumstances as suggested by theoretical models
(Copeland and Taylor, 1994; 1995). Little is known both theoretically and empirically
about the links among trade, environment, and innovation (Carraro, 1994, Steininger,
1999). There is also little evidence, both theoretical and empirical, in favour
of the Porter Hypothesis that stronger environmental regulation creates a long-term
technological advantage (Jaffe, 1995; Ulph, 1997). Regulatory capture through
which interest groups striving for protection against foreign competition lobby
against environmental standards and for environmental tariffs is a possible
barrier to diffusion of technology. Capture is less likely under a market-based
instrument approach to environmental policy, which regulates polluting substances
than under a command-and-control one, which regulates polluters. This is because
the former raises the cost of lobbying and decreases the agency problem as the
regulated group is larger and more heterogeneous under the former regime than
under the latter and has no incentive to hide information from the regulator
(Rauscher, 1999). Many international environmental agreements allow for trade
sanctions. Though, in a less than efficient world, trade sanctions for environmental
violations can be justified, the latter are discriminatory and may jeopardize
diffusion of required technologies (Rauscher, 1999).
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