7.1.3 Progress since the Second Assessment Report
A number of IPCC activities based on SAR have developed cost methodologies
and applied them to the appraisal of specific policies. Some of the main activities
are the IPCC Technical Paper on Technologies, policies, and measures for mitigating
climate change (IPCC, 1996c) and the UNEP report on Mitigation and Adaptation
Cost Assessment Concepts, Methods and Appropriate Use, which was developed on
the basis of an IPCC workshop in June 1997 (Christensen et al., 1998).
The IPCC Technical Paper (IPCC, 1996c) summarizes the information on mitigation
technology costs provided by WGII SAR (IPCC, 1996b), and the chapter on policy
instruments of WGIII SAR (IPCC, 1996b, Chapter 11). The aim of the Technical
Paper was to provide a short overview of cost information to be used by climate
change policymakers and by the Subsidiary Body for Scientific and Technical
Advice (SBSTA) of the UN Convention on Climate Change.
The UNEP report (Christensen et al., 1998) defines and clarifies mitigation
and adaptation cost concepts to be used in the field of climate change based
on WGIII SAR (IPCC, 1996a). The aim is to overcome some of the variations in
the cost concepts that were presented in various chapters of SAR and to develop
a generic overview of cost concepts that are easier to use for practitioners
in the field. The report includes chapters on general mitigation and adaptation
cost concepts, sectoral applications, macroeconomic analysis, and special issues
in costing studies for developing countries, and concludes on the applicability
of the various cost concepts in the formulation of national climate change policies
and programmes.
During the TAR process, a crosscutting issues paper was prepared (Markandya
and Halsnaes, 2000). The purpose was to provide a non-technical guide to the
application of cost concepts in the analysis of climate change policies by any
of the working groups involved in the TAR. Costs of mitigation, adaptation,
or GHG emissions are likely to be estimated and their implications discussed
in many parts of the TAR. It is essential, therefore, that a common understanding
of the use of different cost concepts is employed. The crosscutting paper proposed
a set of definitions for these concepts. The paper also identified categories
of costs and their relevance in the climate change area. In this chapter the
crosscutting issues paper is taken as the point of departure, the ideas are
developed further and an elaboration of some of them provided. The purpose,
however, is the same: to ensure a common understanding of commonly used cost
terms, and the role of cost analysis within the broader decision-making framework
for climate change policies.
After SAR, extensive debates arose regarding suitable costing methods to quantify
the relative indirect economic impacts of various policies in distinct regions,
with no consensus on the most suitable methods to be employed. However, a consensus
is now beginning to emerge on how to quantify some ancillary benefits (OECD,
2000), and Chapters 8 and 9
herein. In preparation for TAR, Burtraw et al. (1999) provide a synthesis of
methodological issues relevant to the assessment of ancillary costs and benefits
of GHG mitigation policies. The magnitude of potential ancillary benefits depends
upon the regulatory, demographic, technological, and environmental baselines.
The magnitude and scope of potential benefits of GHG mitigation policies can
be expected to be greater in cases in which higher emission baselines obtain
and lower for cases in which regulatory and technological innovation have been
more long standing (Morgenstern, 2000).
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