7.2.2.6 A Partial Taxonomy
A variety of effects may result from GHG policies that are secondary to the
reduction in GHG emissions. Existing studies have identified mortality and morbidity
benefits associated with collateral reductions in particulates, nitrogen oxides
(NOx), and sulphur dioxide (SO2) from power plants and
mobile sources as a major source of ancillary benefits. Reduced private vehicle
use and substitution of mass transit will reduce air pollution and congestion
and may also reduce transportation-related fatalities from accidents, although
the size of this effect and the degree to which it counts as an ancillary benefit
are unclear.6
Substitution to mass transit may also involve additional costs, in terms of
the opportunity cost of time, and these ancillary impacts may also need to be
considered. Additional areas that might be considered include improvements in
ecosystem health (for instance, from reduction in nitrate deposition to estuaries),
visibility improvements, reduced materials damages, and reduced crop damages.
At the same time, there may be ancillary costs of GHG mitigation, such as an
increase in indoor air pollution associated with a switch from electricity to
household energy sources (such as wood or lignite) or greater reliance on nuclear
power with its attendant externalities. In developing countries pollution may
rise if electrification slows as a result of policy-induced increases in electricity
prices relative to other fuels (Markandya, 1994). A related cost stems from
forgoing the benefits of electrification, which include increased productive
efficiency and emergence of new technologies, to increases in literacy (Schurr,
1984). Table 7.1 offers an illustrative set of examples
of ancillary benefits (+) and costs (). Under certain conditions, some
of these observed impacts do not necessarily count as externalities from the
standpoint of economic efficiency, depending on whether the market or institutions
fail to account for these impacts in the incentives they provide for individual
behaviour.
Table 7.1: Ancillary Impacts |
|
Ancillary Impact |
Expected sign
|
|
Reduction in particle pollution when fossil fuel use
is reduced |
(+)
|
Increases in urban air pollution when diesel vehicles are introduced to
substitute gasoline |
()
|
Increased availability of recreational sites when reforestation
programmes are introduced |
(+)
|
Increases in household air pollution relative to a baseline when electrification
rates are reduced |
()
|
Increases in technological efficiency when new technologies are adopted
and unit costs fall |
(+)
|
Increases in welfare with a shift to carbon taxation and a reduction in
unemployment |
(+)
|
Reductions in road-use related mortality when a shift from private to
public transport takes place |
(+)
|
Reductions in congestion with a shift from private to public transport
|
(+)
|
Decreases in employment when energy technologies that substitute the use
of local fuels are introduced |
()
|
Increases in employment that result from GHG projects in which there is
an excess need for labour |
(+)
|
Decline in employment because of decreased economic activity resulting
from costs associated with GHG projects |
()
|
Savings in household time in poor rural households when fuel wood use
is replaced by biogas energy |
(+)
|
|
A taxonomy of the main externalities linked with the public health impacts
of air pollution, which was developed in the social cost of electricity studies
and is likely to be relevant to ancillary benefit estimation, is provided in
Table 7.2.
Table 7.2: A Sample of externalities assessed in
studies of electricity generation |
|
|
Health |
Materials |
Crops |
Forests |
Amenitya |
Ecosystems |
|
Mortality |
Morbidity |
|
|
Timber |
Other |
|
|
|
PM10 |
AM |
AM |
AM |
NE |
NE |
NE |
AM |
NE |
SO2b |
AM |
AM |
AM |
AM |
AM |
AP |
AM |
AP |
NOxb |
AM |
AM |
AM |
AM |
AM |
NA |
NE |
AP |
Ozone |
AM |
AM |
AM |
AM |
NA |
NA |
NE |
NE |
Mercury and other heavy metals |
NA |
NA |
NE |
NE |
NE |
NE |
NE |
? |
Routine operationsc |
AM |
AM |
NE |
NE |
NE |
NE |
NE |
NE |
Water pollutantsd |
NE |
NE |
NE |
NE |
NE |
NE |
|
AP |
Noise |
NE |
NA |
NE |
NE |
NE |
NE |
AM |
NE |
|
|