1.3.2 What Are the Options?
These considerations have given rise to a variety of solutions, both in the
evolving climate agreements and in the scholarly literature. This literature
classifies options in terms of the underlying theoretical and philosophical
approaches to equity. Toth (1999) constructs a useful taxonomy of perspectives
on equity. We have modified this taxonomy slightly into four alternative views,
based on: rights, liability, poverty, and opportunity. A number of perspectives
on equity are discussed more fully in Chapter 10.
Rights-based, that is based on equal (or otherwise defensible) rights
to the global commons.11
The earliest formulation of this approach was as a proposal for tradable permits
(see, e.g., Agarwal and Narain, 1991a; Parikh et al., 1991; Grubb, 1989; Ghosh,
1993). A formulation that carries this insight to its logical conclusion is
that of contraction and convergence (Meyer, 1999), whereby net aggregate
emissions decline to zero, and per capita emissions of Annex I and non-Annex
I countries reach precise equality. Initial analysis assumed an equal per capita
allocation of emission permitsor rights to the atmospheric commonsbut
subsequent questioning led other writers to explore equity and efficiency implications
of alternative allocation formulas, including geographical area, historic use,
economic activity, or some combination of these. In all this literature, the
idea is that surplus countries or regions, namely those (mainly
among non-Annex I countries) with per capita emissions below their total allocation,
could sell excess emissions rights to deficit countries, namely
those (mainly among the Annex I countries) that exceed their quota. Besides
a transfer from rich to poor countries, this scheme provided incentives to both
groups to reduce their emissionsat least as long as emissions rights are
a scarce commodityto reap the financial benefits of conservation. In other
words, it sought simultaneously to reward restraint, punish profligacy, provide
incentives for conservation, induce a transfer from rich countries to poor ones,
and thus lead to distributional equity, efficiency, and sustainability.
Liability-based, that is based on the right of people not to be harmed
by others actions without suitable compenzation (see Rayner et al., 1999).12
This literature focuses on the damage caused by overuse of the commons, and
seeks to establish mechanisms through which those who cause such damage are
penalized and the victims of the damage compensated. This perspective opens
up possibilities of financial instruments, such as insurance, which distribute
risk across society. Countries or groups that believe that the risk of harm
is overstated could offer insurance to others against the liability (Sagar and
Banuri, 1999). In other words, this solution is expected to lead to sustainability
(incentive for restraint) and procedural (though not necessarily distributional)
equity. However, broadly speaking, the climate negotiations have not taken this
route in any significant manner.
Poverty-based, that is based on the need to protect the poor and vulnerable
against the impact of climate change as well as climate policy. Roughly 2 billion
people in the world exist at levels of consumption that, from the CO2
emissions perspective, do not pose a threat to the climate (although their lifestyles
are a threat to their own survival).13
Unlike the high-technology sectors of the developed as well as developing countries,
the poor and vulnerable communities lack the flexibility to adapt to global
changes or global agreements. Options based on this approach include investment
in capacity building and protection for the poor and vulnerable groups to enable
them to enhance their livelihoods in an emerging climate regime, while setting
aggregate emission targets for the rest of the world. This could also involve
a transition to renewable energy in the developing countries, which is generally
consistent with the sustainable livelihoods perspective, especially since the
current menu of renewable energy technologies includes many that are small scale
and appropriate for scattered and low-income populations. Elements of this solution
are contained in Agenda 21, but it has not otherwise played a prominent role
in discussions of global climate regimes or global governanceexcept for
the occasional reference to intranational equity (see, e.g., Rayner and Malone,
2000).
Opportunity-based, that is based on the right of people, not to the
global commons per se, but to the opportunity to achieve a standard of living
enjoyed by those with greater access to the commons (see e.g., Najam, 2000).
It has strong overlaps with the compromise solution that is emerging from the
negotiations. Its exclusive focus is on the relationship between states, and
it has led to agreements that place the burden of adjustment primarily on Annex
I countries. It also implies a tacit consensus on such matters as:
- no large financial transfers or windfall gains;
- no sudden shocks, but a gradual approach consistent with the coping capacity
of different countries;
- no financial burden on non-Annex I countries; and
- no restrictions on the space for sustainable development, particularly in
the developing countries.
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