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Working Group I: The Scientific Basis |
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II.3.11: Total Radiative Forcing (Wm-2) from GHG plus
direct and indirect aerosol effects as used in the Chapter
9 Simple Model SRES Projections
| Year |
A1B |
A1T |
A1FI |
A2 |
B1 |
B2 |
IS92a |
 |
| 1990 |
1.03 |
1.03 |
1.03 |
1.03 |
1.03 |
1.03 |
1.03 |
| 2000 |
1.33 |
1.33 |
1.33 |
1.33 |
1.33 |
1.33 |
1.31 |
| 2010 |
1.65 |
1.85 |
1.69 |
1.74 |
1.73 |
1.82 |
1.63 |
| 2020 |
2.16 |
2.48 |
2.17 |
2.04 |
2.15 |
2.36 |
2.00 |
| 2030 |
2.84 |
3.07 |
2.78 |
2.56 |
2.56 |
2.81 |
2.40 |
| 2040 |
3.61 |
3.76 |
3.67 |
3.22 |
2.93 |
3.26 |
2.82 |
| 2050 |
4.16 |
4.31 |
4.83 |
3.89 |
3.30 |
3.70 |
3.25 |
| 2060 |
4.79 |
4.73 |
5.99 |
4.71 |
3.65 |
4.11 |
3.76 |
| 2070 |
5.28 |
4.97 |
7.02 |
5.56 |
3.92 |
4.52 |
4.24 |
| 2080 |
5.62 |
5.11 |
7.89 |
6.40 |
4.09 |
4.92 |
4.74 |
| 2090 |
5.86 |
5.12 |
8.59 |
7.22 |
4.18 |
5.32 |
5.26 |
| 2100 |
6.05 |
5.07 |
9.14 |
8.07 |
4.19 |
5.71 |
5.79 |
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