Figure 23: Analysis of inter-model
consistency in regional precipitation change. Regions are classified as showing
either agreement on increase with an average change of greater than 20% (‘Large
increase�), agreement on increase with an average change between 5 and 20%
(‘Small increase�), agreement on a change between �5 and +5% or
agreement with an average change between �5 and 5% (‘No change�),
agreement on decrease with an average change between �5 and -20% (‘Small
decrease�), agreement on decrease with an average change of less than -20%
(‘Large decrease�), or disagreement (‘Inconsistent sign�).
A consistent result from at least seven of the nine models is deemed necessary
for agreement. [Based on Chapter 10, Box
1, Figure 2]
