8.3.1. Major Market Segments: Property/Casualty and Life/Health
The world insurance market enjoyed revenues of US$2.155 trillion in 1998 (7.4%
of global GDP) (Table 8-2). Although insurance penetration
is relatively low in developing countries and economies in transition, their
insurance market growth rate averages approximately twice that in industrialized
countries. Expenditures on insurance in developing countries typically represent
between 0.5 and 4% of GDP, compared to 5-15% percent in developed countries
(Swiss Re, 1999c). With 36% of total global insurance premiums, North America
is the largest regional market (see Chapter 15), closely
followed by Western Europe at 32%. Reinsurance is particularly focused on high-value
loss situations, in developing countries, or for smaller primary insurers. Reinsurers
typically collect US$100 billion in premiums globally each year from primary
insurers from whom they assume various (mostly property) risks.
The P/C insurance segment represented 41% of global industry premiums collected
in 1998. As shown in Figure 8-4, the segment as
a whole exhibits sensitivity to major natural disaster events, as evidenced
by the reductions in U.S. insurer profitability during 1992 (Hurricane Andrew
and Iniki) and 1994 (Northridge earthquake). A list of the most costly events
is presented in Table 8-3. Over the past 15 years,
the global ratio of P/C premium income to natural catastrophe losses has decreased
from 351:1 to 122:1almost a three-fold rise in "exposure" (Figure
8-5; see Figure 15-6 for North America).
Climate- and weather-related risks faced by life/health insurers include injuries
or death resulting from extreme weather episodes, water- or vector-borne diseases,
degraded urban air quality, pressure on the quality and adequacy of food and
water supplies, and increased vulnerability to power failures (see Chapters
4, 5, 9, 15;
TAR WGIII Chapter 8; World Bank,
1997a; Epstein, 1999). In some areas, climate changes may yield health benefits,
but negative health impacts are expected to outweigh positive ones if no actions
are taken to adjust (Chapter 9). Such impacts will not
be significant for the global financial sector in the near term, because life/heath
insurance penetration currently is low in developing countries; the burden will
fall largely on the informal and government sectors.
Owing to structural changes underway in the industry, the financial distinction
between life and P/C insurers is blurring somewhat as a result of consolidation
and mergers. Life insurers also are major holders of real estate and providers
of mortgage lending; thus, they participate as property owners in weather-related
property risks and may additionally assume property risk as investors in catastrophe
bonds or other weather derivatives.
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