10. Decision-making Frameworks
Contents
Executive Summary
10.1 Introduction
10.1.1 Chapter Overview
10.1.2 Scope of the Problem
10.1.2.1 The Problem Is Global
10.1.2.2 The Problem Is Long Term
10.1.2.3 Associated Human Activities Are Pervasive
10.1.2.4 Uncertainty Is Pervasive
10.1.2.5 The Consequences Are Potentially Irreversible
10.1.2.6 The Global Institutions Needed to Address
the Issue Are only Partially Formed
10.1.3 Tools of Analysis and their Summary in the Second Assessment
Report
10.1.3.1 Tools of Analysis
10.1.3.2 Summary of the Second Assessment Report
10.1.4 Progress since the Second Assessment Report on Decision
Analytical Frameworks
10.1.4.1 Decision Making under Uncertainty
10.1.4.2 Cost-effectiveness Analysis
10.1.4.3 Tolerable Windows and Safe Landing Approaches
10.1.4.4 Computational, Multiscenario Simulation Approaches
10.1.5 Robust Decision Making
10.2 International Regimes and Policy Options
10.2.1 Introduction
10.2.2 Coalition Formation
10.2.3 No Participation
10.2.4 Unilateral Participation
10.2.5 Partial Agreements
10.2.6 Global Agreements
10.2.7 Political Science Perspectives
10.2.8 Implementation and Compliance
10.2.9 Monitoring, Reporting, and Verification
10.3 Local and/or National Sustainable Development Choices
and Addressing Climate Change
10.3.1 Introduction
10.3.2 Development Choices and the Potential for Synergy
10.3.2.1 Decision-making Process Related to Sustainable
Development
10.3.2.2 Technological and Policy Options and Choices
10.3.2.3 Choices and Decisions Related to Lifestyles
10.3.2.4 Interaction of Climate Policy with other Objectives
10.3.2.5 Synergies, Trade-offs, and No Regrets
10.3.2.6 Links to other Conventions
10.3.3 Technology Transfer
10.3.3.1 The View of Technology Transfer
10.3.3.2 Technology Transfer: International Aspects
10.3.3.3 Technology Transfer: National Aspects
10.3.4 Decision-making Frameworks for Sustainable Development
and Climate Change
10.3.4.1 Forms of Decision-making
10.3.4.2 Public and Private Decision-making
10.3.4.3 Participatory Forms of Decision- making
10.4 Policy-relevant Scientific Questions in Climate Change
Response
10.4.1 Introduction
10.4.2 What Should the Response Be? The Relationship between
Adaptation and Mitigation
10.4.2.1 Economic Considerations
10.4.2.2 Precautionary Considerations
10.4.2.3 Institutional Considerations
10.4.3 When Should the Response Be Made? Factors Influencing
the Relationships between the Near-term and Long-term Mitigation Portfolio
10.4.4 Where Should the Response Take Place? The Relationship
between Domestic Mitigation and the Use of International Mechanisms
10.4.5 Who Should Pay for the Response? Mitigation by Countries
and Sectors: Equity and Cost-effectiveness Considerations
10.4.6 Towards What Objective Should the Response Be Targetted?
High versus Low Stabilization LevelsInsights on Mitigation
10.4.7 Emerging Conclusions with Respect to Policy-relevant
Scientific Questions
References
Co-ordinating Lead Authors:
Ferenc L. Toth (Germany), Mark Mwandosya (Tanzania)
Lead Authors:
Carlo Carraro (Italy), John Christensen (Denmark), Jae Edmonds (USA), Brian
Flannery (USA), Carlos Gay-Garcia (Mexico), Hoesung Lee (South Korea), Klaus
Michael Meyer-Abich (Germany), Elena Nikitina (Russian Federation), Atiq Rahman
(Bangladesh), Richard Richels (USA), Ye Ruqiu (China), Arturo Villavicencio
(Ecuador/Denmark), Yoko Wake (Japan), John Weyant (USA)
Contributing Authors:
John Byrne (USA), Robert Lempert (USA), Ina Meyer (Germany), Arild Underdal
(Norway)
Review Editors:
Jonathan Pershing (USA), Mordechai Shechter (Israel)
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